This report is a comprehensive review of health in the West Midlands and builds on the findings of the Health Profile for England.
This report includes a set of important health-related topics based on the Health Profile of England. It highlights the universal impact of COVID-19 as well as presenting inequalities between the least and most deprived areas, and variation in health behaviours seen in each region in England. As we move into the post pandemic and recovery phase there are emerging opportunities to sustainably tackle the historical and emerging challenges through the Levelling Up 1 and soon to be published Disparities White Papers. Action will be supported via greater integration between the NHS and social care enabled by the development of Integrated Care Systems.
The data in this report provides evidence of the impact of COVID-19 on life expectancy, increasing risk factors in our population and the impact on the determinants of health which will have an enduring and long-term impact on the health of our population.
Healthy life expectancy at birth had started to decrease or level off in most regions before the pandemic. This represents an increasing number of years lived in poor health, resulting in a reduced ability to work, a reduced sense of wellbeing and an increased need to access services.
In all regions obesity was the largest contributor to morbidity. Smoking and diabetes were the second and third largest contributors although their placing varied in different regions.
In many areas we have seen a widening of inequalities between the most and least deprived areas. The harms to health are not uniform, data in this report tells a compelling story about widening health inequalities and variations in health behaviours.
There are also areas of improvement, the proportion of mothers smoking at the time of delivery continues to decline and antibiotic prescribing continues to decrease.
Taken together, these data confirm that we are now observing the direct and indirect impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic on all parts of society, with many chronic health conditions worsening and most historically disadvantaged areas being further so. This has resulted in greater health need and widening health inequalities in all parts of the nation. The findings reinforce the need for targeted increase of clinical and preventive services recovery programmes with a resolute focus on secondary prevention called for in the NHS Core20Plus5 initiative. As we have learned throughout the pandemic the nature and scale of the challenges cannot be met by any single agency. We must harness the full potential of our newly transformed public health and health care systems, guided by the new national strategies and frameworks, working closely with our partners in place, and engaging and mobilising local communities. Ultimately, these data confirm areas for system-wide prioritisation, mobilisation and action.
The Regional Health Profile for England 2021: West Midlands report provides a comprehensive look at the state of the region’s health. It presents a range of population health data, such as smoking and obesity as well as providing an early summary of the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on many aspects of health and health inequalities. The report provides a regional view of health and indicators presented in the Health Profile for England 2021, first produced by Public Health England (PHE) in 2017. The purpose of this regional report is to provide an overarching summary of the health of the population of the West Midlands for key public health stakeholders. The key stakeholders for this report are the Office for Health Improvement and Disparities, UK Health Security Agency and NHS England and Improvement. The report will also be of interest and importance to the wider public health system. The report gives a clear and consistent description of the health challenges facing the population and is a useful background document to support public health organisations working together to improve population health. It will be used to support and inform regional public health strategy and priority setting.
As the first edition of the Health Profile for the West Midlands region, the report includes public health intelligence about prevalence, regional trends, local authority comparisons, and health inequalities. The interactive charts and interpretation are grouped by these key themes:
The West Midlands edition is part of a set of nine new regional profiles that have been produced following the content, format, and methods and definitions published in the Health Profile for England. Content does differ from the national report and between regions depending on the availability of regional level data and indicators. For example, the regional reports provide local authority comparisons benchmarked mostly against regional averages, whereas the Health Profile for England provides a wider view from international to regional comparisons. The regional editions do not cover all the inequality breakdowns available in the England report, as some of the sub-national breakdowns are not available. Some references to the national level inequalities data, however, have been presented here for important context about how health outcomes and risks vary by ethnicity, age, sex and socioeconomic status and area deprivation.
Charts in this report follow a standard format, with three sections for each topic area where data is available:
Headline - overall data for the key indicator used in the West Midlands, usually as a trend over several years. Regions are defined as government regions. Where this is not possible, other geographical region definitions are used as indicated in the supporting information.
Inequalities - how the indicator varies between different groups in the West Midlands, by protected characteristics such as age, sex and ethnicity or categories of socioeconomic deprivation where possible. Some inequalities information presented at national level in the Health Profile for England 2021 is not available at regional and sub-regional levels.
Sub-regional comparison - headline information on the indicator variation is presented at the Upper Tier Local Authority (UTLA) level - referred to as ‘local authorities’ in the narrative. UTLAs affiliated with the government region are shown unless stated otherwise. UTLA codes and boundaries are subject to change pending the data released.
It is not always possible to use the same indicator for the headline, inequalities and sub-regional comparisons within each topic area.
Note on date formats - where more than one calendar year is used to calculate a measure, then a hyphen is used to show which years are included i.e. 2019-2020 for a two-year average. Where the data used covers a financial year or an academic year, a slash is used to indicate which years are covered i.e. 2019/20 indicates that the data covers April 1 2019 to March 31 2020. When describing change over time, the preposition ‘to’ is used.
Note on statistical significance - point estimates for lower geographies are compared to a national, regional or benchmark value. Where confidence intervals do not overlap with the reference point estimate, the difference is statistically significantly different. This is described as significantly higher or lower in the narrative. Where confidence intervals do overlap, the point estimates are described as similar. Where two time points or categories are compared for the same geographical area, statistical significance is based on overlapping confidence intervals around each point estimate and described in the same way as above.
The West Midlands is home to a diverse population. When compared to England, deprivation is higher in the region overall. Inequalities are particularly high among urban and industrial communities, and these inequalities are associated with differences in the wider determinants of health. In 2019/20, the proportion of children living in relative low income was over 30% in Birmingham, Stoke-on-Trent, Sandwell, Walsall and Wolverhampton.
Through mechanisms related to this socioeconomic deprivation, these populations experience poorer housing and working conditions, fuel poverty and reduced access to goods and services that improve health. In the industrial towns of the counties there has been a decline in the local jobs market also leading to socioeconomic disadvantage. Intersectionality describes how these multiple forms of disadvantage interact with individual characteristics such as gender, ethnicity, and age, resulting in the health inequalities presented throughout this report.
Many other factors impact on population health and wellbeing, such as age, sex and ethnicity. It is important to note that Birmingham, Coventry, Sandwell, Wolverhampton and Walsall have significant proportions of their populations from ethnic minority groups.
The effects of socioeconomic disadvantage in the West Midlands are evident across the life course. Of particular concern is the rate of infant mortality. In the region, it is significantly higher than the national average. Six local authorities, Birmingham, Stoke-on-Trent, Herefordshire, Sandwell, Walsall and Wolverhampton, have the highest rates of infant mortality in the country. Factors related to infant mortality that are determined by socio-economic circumstances are also higher in the region, such as poor maternal and child nutrition, low birthweight and smoking at time of delivery.
Nationally, the evidence shows that the COVID-19 pandemic has exacerbated existing inequalities in both risk factors and outcomes. During the first year of the pandemic, the employment rate decreased in the region overall, worsening the socioeconomic drivers of health outcomes already experienced by the most deprived areas.
Across the West Midlands, there has been an increase in risk factors for ill health. This is particularly evident in the measures of self-reported wellbeing which show concerning trends over the pandemic, with significant percentage point increases in self-reported anxiety, low happiness, and satisfaction among the region’s population.
The West Midlands has higher rates of hypertension, obesity and smoking than the England average. Trends in obesity rates in the West Midlands for both adults and children show that this has been increasing in recent years. The impact of the pandemic on adult obesity levels is not known but given the changes in other risk factors presented (diet, physical activity and alcohol), it is possible we will see an increase in prevalence and a widening of inequalities. Smoking remains the risk factor most associated with lower life expectancy and healthy life expectancy. Overall smoking prevalence in the West Midlands continues to decline but inequalities in smoking prevalence among those in routine and manual occupations and those with a long-term mental health condition persist. There has also been an increase in the rate of deaths from alcohol-specific conditions, which were particularly high in 2020.
Added to these increasing risk factors for ill health is the impact of the pandemic on the use of health services. This may have influenced health outcomes across the life course. There were significant reductions in outpatient and inpatient admissions to hospital during the pandemic. Whilst emergency hospital admissions have returned to pre-pandemic levels, outpatients and elective admissions are still below average levels. Of particular concern is a reduction in new cancer patients entering treatment, over 8,000 lower for the Midlands (East and West combined) during the time period analysed compared to pre-pandemic levels. It will not be known for some time how this will affect health outcomes.
The direct and indirect impact of COVID-19 has resulted in a decline in overall life expectancy across the region. There were close to 18,000 deaths registered with COVID-19 mentioned on the death certificate by the end of 2021. Because of this, COVID-19 became the leading cause of death for men in the region and the second largest cause of death among females after dementia and Alzheimer’s disease.
The impact on existing inequalities in mortality and life expectancy is evident. The difference in life expectancy between the most and least deprived areas in the region increased for both males (by 1.5 years to 10.8 years difference) and females (1.8 years to 9.1 years difference).
Healthy life expectancy for 2017-19 in the West Midlands was 61.5 years for males and 61.9 years for females. For males, this was a decrease on the value recorded in 2016-18. Healthy life expectancy is a key metric for understanding overall health, but we cannot yet see the impact of the Covid pandemic on this metric. It is important to note that healthy life expectancy was declining prior to the pandemic with women expecting to live for 20.3 years with poor health and men 17.5 years. The increase in the number of years that people will live with poor health reduces their ability to work, reduces their sense of wellbeing, and increases their need to access services.
The West Midlands is made up of 14 local authorities: Herefordshire, Shropshire, Stoke-on-Trent, Telford and Wrekin, Staffordshire, Warwickshire, Birmingham, Coventry, Dudley, Sandwell, Solihull, Walsall, Wolverhampton, and Worcestershire. This is a larger area than the West Midlands Combined Authority, a devolved administration that covers Birmingham, Coventry, Dudley, Sandwell, Solihull, Walsall and Wolverhampton. A separate report published by the West Midlands Combined Authority presents a health profile of this region for 2020 2.
Based on population estimates from mid-2020, the West Midlands has a population of 6.0 million people, equating to 11% of the England population. The population of the West Midlands continues to grow and is expected to increase to 6.7 million people by 2043, an increase of 11% from 2022. However, the West Midlands population is ageing. In 2022, it was estimated that 1.1 million people (19%) in the West Midlands were aged 65 and over. By 2043, this is projected to increase to just over 1.5 million people, resulting in 22% of the population being aged 65 or over.
In the West Midlands, 20% of the population live in rural areas, whereas 80% live in urban areas. Overall, the West Midlands has higher levels of deprivation compared to England. In the West Midlands, 30% of the population live in the most deprived quintile. In 2019/20, 26% of children lived in relative low income families. In the 2021 Annual Population Survey (APS), 795,000 people in the West Midlands were from ethnic minorities, equating to 17% of the West Midlands population.
Areas with a higher than average proportion of the population who are from ethnic minorities include the cities of Birmingham (40%), Coventry (30%) and Wolverhampton (28%) and the metropolitan boroughs of Sandwell (30%), and Walsall (17%). These areas, as well as Stoke-on-Trent, Dudley and Telford and Wrekin are also the most deprived local authorities in the region, with between 15% and 22% of people living in an area classed as income deprived. In 2019/20, the proportion of children living in relative low income was as high as around 1 in 3 children in Birmingham, Stoke-on-Trent, Sandwell, Walsall and Wolverhampton. These inequalities in wider determinants are reflected in the inequalities in health outcomes seen across the region.
Disparities in health outcomes related to ethnicity are explored further in the West Midlands disparities report 2022 3.
This section examines the direct impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on health with analysis of COVID-19 cases, vaccination rates, death rates involving COVID-19 and excess deaths during the pandemic up until 31 December 2021
England had experienced 2 main waves of cases by the end of June 2021. The first wave took place in spring 2020 and the second from autumn 2020 to spring 2021. The timing of the second wave varied throughout the country and cases in regions in the north of England were relatively high in October and November 2020, while in regions in the south of England case rates increased later in December 2020 and January 2021.
The data in figure 1 shows that:
Cumulative case rates presented may be lower than actual case rates due to the limited community testing in the earlier phases of the pandemic. COVID-19 has impacted some groups more than others and the cumulative confirmed case rates in the region were:
The data in figure 2 shows that:
There are wide inequalities in death rates involving COVID-19 and the cumulative age-standardised mortality rates in the region were:
Inequalities in death rates from COVID-19 largely reflect inequalities in COVID-19 case rates. However, they are also influenced by differences in survival following COVID-19 infection. During the first wave of the pandemic in England, people aged over 80 years were 70 times more likely to die from COVID-19 once infected, compared with those aged under 40 years 4. Survival was higher in females than males, and after controlling for age, deprivation and pre-existing health conditions, survival among many ethnic minority groups remained lower than the white group. The Bangladeshi ethnic group had the poorest survival and had 1.88 times the odds of dying once diagnosed than the white ethnic group. The Pakistani, Chinese, and black other ethnic groups had 1.35 to 1.45 times the odds of dying once diagnosed and the Indian group 1.16 5. The possible reasons for these differences and further interpretation of ethnic inequalities in COVID-19 mortality rates are discussed in depth in other reports 6 7.
Excess mortality is a measure of how much higher all-cause mortality was in the pandemic period than what would have been expected, based on previous years, had the pandemic not occurred. These figures account for inequalities prior to the pandemic and therefore reflect the disproportionate direct and indirect impact of the pandemic on black and Asian groups and deprived areas. Between 27 March 2020 and 31 December 2021, the excess cumulative all-cause deaths as presented in figure 3 were:
Nationally, there was an association between deprivation and excess mortality, with a ratio of 1.17 in the most deprived areas and 1.13 in the least deprived areas. As with the regional figures, this takes existing inequality in mortality by deprivation into account, so this greater excess mortality in deprived areas is an indication that COVID-19 has exacerbated existing inequalities by deprivation. Further analysis has shown that among black and Asian groups excess mortality in those aged under 75 did not vary by deprivation and was high across all deprivation groups. This indicates that the excess mortality in those aged under 75 in the black and Asian groups cannot be explained by deprivation alone and that other factors might play a role 8.
In the West Midlands, by the end of December 2021, 4,373,536 people had only received one dose, 4,019,436 had only received two doses and 2,920,739 had received three doses. However, there has been variation in uptake as presented in figure 4 (for two Covid-19 vaccinations):
This section examines trends and inequalities in all-cause mortality, mortality from leading causes of death and life expectancy. It presents data for the pre-pandemic period, and 2020 data where it is available.
Trends in life expectancy at birth from 2001 to 2020 have increased for both males and females in the West Midlands region. However, compared to 2019, life expectancy fell in 2020 by 1.7 years for males to 77.6 years, and by 1.4 years for females to 81.8 years. Out of the nine regions in England, the West Midlands region had the second largest fall in life expectancy for males and females. The fall in life expectancy represents widening inequalities in health outcomes. Figure 5 shows that:
The slope index of inequality (SII) is a measure of the social gradient in an indicator and shows how much a health outcome varies with deprivation. It takes account of inequalities across the whole range of deprivation within England and summarises this into a single number. The measure assumes a linear relationship between the indicator and deprivation 9. The higher the value of the SII, the greater the inequality within an area. Within the West Midlands region in 2020 there was a difference of:
In the West Midlands region, the change in life expectancy between 2019 and 2020 has been attributed largely to COVID-19, accounting for a reduction of 1.4 years in males and 1.1 years in females (figure 6a). By age, deaths among those aged 30 and over had a negative effect on life expectancy between 2019 and 2020 (figure 6a). Deaths in males aged 80 to 89 made the greatest contribution to a decrease in life expectancy (-0.43 years), and in females it was deaths in those aged 80 to 89 (-0.38 years).
In terms of inequalities, the data in figure 6b shows the contribution of either age or cause to the gap in life expectancy between the most and least deprived and how this has changed over the pandemic.
For males:
For females:
Figure 7a shows trends in age-standardised mortality rates at all ages, and for those under 75 years of age, for males and females in the West Midlands region from 2001 to 2020. Trends in both were generally decreasing over the last 20 years. However, this has changed in more recent time periods.
For males:
For females:
By deprivation:
By local authority:
Figure 8a shows the five leading causes of death in each age group over 20 in 2020, based on the number of deaths by underlying cause, for females and males separately. Deaths in children aged under 20 are not included in this chart as the number of deaths is small and the leading causes vary from year to year, but include suicide, accidents, cancers and congenital anomalies.
Figure 8a refers to deaths registered in 2020. Sudden deaths, those where the cause is unclear and those suspected to be due to certain causes, such as suicide or drug poisonings, can only be registered after referral to a coroner and sometimes an inquest is required which may take months or even years to conclude 10. Although the full impact of the pandemic will not become clear for some time, coroners have reported pressure on the system which may have resulted in lengthier registration delays than previously experienced 11. This may impact on the pattern of leading causes of death presented for 2020.
The data in figure 8a shows:
Figure 8b shows the age-standardised mortality rate for cancer, circulatory diseases, dementia and Alzheimer’s and respiratory diseases by deprivation decile, comparing the averages for 2015-2019 to the rates in the first year of the pandemic, 2020. This analysis highlights the differences between deprivation groups in the age-standardised mortality rates from these conditions and how this changed in the first year of the pandemic. It shows that:
Figure 8c shows local authority comparisons of age-standardised years of life lost (YLL) rates from four leading groups of causes of death using data from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2019. Years of life lost are estimated by multiplying the number of deaths by the maximum global life expectancy for each age and sex, and then summing to get the total number in each area. The rates of YLL for:
The mortality data and life expectancy data presented in this report demonstrate the significant detrimental impact that the pandemic had in 2020 on health outcomes in the West Midlands. However, the direct impacts of Covid will reduce as the population adapts to living with Covid.
Throughout this report, data is presented that starts to explore the wider impacts of Covid on the health of the population. The wider impacts range from increases in wider determinants such as employment rates which will drive health inequalities, increases in risk factors for ill health and a reduction in access to services, particularly in access to cancer services.
It is important to recognise that the wider impacts of the pandemic on the health of the West Midlands will extend beyond the direct impacts on mortality and life expectancy.
Every child having a good start in life is the foundation for the future health and wellbeing of England’s population. This section presents some key indicators of child health: birthweight, infant mortality, early child development and childhood obesity. The data includes the pre-pandemic period and up to the end of March 2021, where available.
Low birthweight is a measure of the proportion of full-term babies weighing less than 2,500 grams and is expressed as a proportion of all full-term live births (excludes still births).
In England the last two decades have seen overall improvements in babies born with a low birthweight, infant deaths and child development. However, in the years leading up to the coronavirus pandemic, improvements had slowed down.
Low birthweight increases the risk of childhood mortality and of developmental problems for the child and is associated with poorer health in later life. At a population level, there are inequalities in low birthweight and a high proportion of low birthweight births could indicate lifestyle issues of the mothers and/or issues with maternity services. There are well-established inequalities by ethnic group in low birthweight 12. The Health Profile for England found that low birthweight in the most deprived areas was more than double the proportion in the least deprived areas, as measured by the Relative Index of Inequality (RII).
Figure 9 shows that in the West Midlands:
Infant mortality covers all deaths within the first year of life. The majority of these are neonatal deaths which occur during the first month and the main cause is related to prematurity and preterm birth, followed closely by congenital anomalies 13.
The full impact of the pandemic on the infant mortality rate is not yet known, however the latest data suggest that there has been little change. Infant mortality is a particular concern in the West Midlands and has been explored further in a report, ‘Infant Mortality in the West Midlands - what have we learnt 5 years on’ 14. Figure 10 shows that:
Starting primary school is a significant milestone in a child’s educational journey. Language and communication skills are fundamental to young people’s potential development and achievements later in life 15. Being able to express themselves, interact with peers and make themselves understood helps to build a child’s confidence and boost their self-esteem 16. Inadequate communication skills can lead to poorer adult outcomes in literacy, mental health and employment 17. Figure 11 shows that:
in the West Midlands, in the academic year 2018/19, 70.1% of children overall achieved a good level of development at the end of Reception year, significantly lower than the England average of 71.8%. Although an annual improvement has been observed since 2012, the rate of progress has slowed since 2015/16
fewer boys than girls achieved a good level of development in the region in 2018/19 at 63.8% compared to 76.7%, respectively
by local authority, five were significantly lower than the regional average in 2018/19, including Birmingham (68.0%), Dudley (67.1%), Sandwell (66.8%), Stoke-on-Trent (67.0%), and Walsall (67.5%)
among children receiving free school meals, 64.9% of females and 49.7% of males achieved a good level of development
by local authority, for children receiving free school meals, the proportion achieving a good level of development is significantly higher in Birmingham at 60.2% than the regional average of 57.2% and significantly lower in Worcestershire at 51.5%. Dudley is also significantly lower than the regional average for this group of children and the lowest in the region at 48.2%
Due to the pandemic, data on child development at the end of Reception year was not reported for the academic year September 2019 to July 2020. In March 2020, Early Years settings were closed to most children, with only children from key workers and vulnerable families continuing to attend (around 7% of children aged 2 to 4) 18. Outside formal Early Years settings, young children may also have experienced a lack of social activities and interactions that would normally have helped to prepare them for the start of school, such as with grandparents and via play dates.
Although the full impact of the pandemic on early years development will not be known for some time, a study carried out by the Education Endowment Foundation (EEF) found that out of the schools in England surveyed, 76% reported that children who started school in the Autumn 2020 term needed more support than children in previous cohorts. Almost all surveyed schools indicated that they were concerned about pupils’ communication and language development (96%), personal, social, and emotional development (91%) and levels of literacy (89%) 19.
Prevention and treatment of childhood obesity presents a significant public health challenge. Obesity in childhood can result in the early onset of cardio-metabolic, respiratory and musculoskeletal conditions, as well as adverse psycho-social outcomes and an increased risk of living with obesity and its associated morbidity and mortality later in life 20. Figure 12 shows that:
The latest findings from the NCMP suggest that obesity has increased across all regions in both reception age children and children in year 6. A link between weight gain and out of school time in the school holidays has previously been demonstrated 21. Closure of schools, sporting and leisure facilities, park facilities and recreational areas, together with an increase in screen time over the pandemic period have led to a reduction in physical activity in children and young people 22. Recent evidence suggest that in England, there has also been a reduction in physical activity in boys, and increase in girls during the pandemic in England. Whereas the differences by deprivation have widened.
One national survey comparing aspects of mental health found that in 2020, one in six (16.0%) children aged 5 to 16 years were identified as having a probable mental disorder, increasing from one in nine (10.8%) in 2017. When compared with those unlikely to have a mental disorder, children and young people with a probable mental disorder were more likely to say that lockdown had made their life worse, with 54.1% of 11 to 16 year olds and 59.0% of 17 to 22 year olds stating this, compared with 39.2% and 37.3% respectively 23.
Trends in the proportion of school pupils with social, emotional and mental health needs suggest that in recent years this need was increasing in the West Midland region from 2.1% in 2016 to 2.6% in 2021. This equates to 24,141 pupils in the first year of the pandemic.
During the pandemic, England level data shows that hospital admissions of children and young people under 25 (unless otherwise stated) due to asthma, diabetes, epilepsy, gastroenteritis (0 to 4 years), lower respiratory tract infections (0 to 4 years) and accidents were generally below the average for 2018 and 2019 24. Figure 13 shows that:
Reports published prior to the pandemic demonstrated inequalities in many other aspects of children’s health 25, including during pregnancy. You can find out more about Child and Maternal Health from OHID Fingertips Public Health profiles. Data on maternal smoking in figure 14 shows that:
The pandemic has had a profound effect on the life of young people, through isolation and interruptions to education. Some of these effects will be longer-term and data are not available to measure them yet.
Prior to the pandemic, in England smoking among teenagers had been reducing, while drug use had increased. The proportion of 15-year-olds who reported they were regular smokers decreased from 12% to 5% between 2010 and 2018 26.
Good health is vital to maintaining quality of life in adults. The benefits are wide ranging, from remaining in employment, to maintaining relationships and being involved in activities that provide meaning and purpose 27. Helping people to be healthy for as many years as possible is not only important at an individual level but is also vital to the sustainability of the health and care system and the economy 28.
This section examines trends in the health of adults prior to the pandemic, and where available, includes data that describes what has happened during the pandemic.
As well as life expectancy (how long the population could expect to live), it is also important to consider the quality of life or length of time spent in good health. This is referred to as healthy life expectancy. Healthy life expectancy is not available for the years covering the pandemic yet; however, in the region, healthy life expectancy (figure 15a):
The Global Burden of Disease uses years lived with disability (YLDs) to attribute the burden of morbidity. YLDs is a measure of morbidity that combines the prevalence of each disease with a rating of the severity of its symptoms (excluding death itself), to give an overall measure of the loss of quality of life. Figure 16a identifies the most common causes of morbidity in 2019 according to GBD, as measured by age-standardised YLDs per 100,000 population. It also shows the change in YLDs since 1990. Change over time needs to be interpreted with caution as this may reflect changes in methodology and categorisation. Overall, the top 3 leading causes of morbidity in the region in 2019 were low back pain, depressive disorders, and headache disorders. However, for:
According to the Global Burden of Disease, in 2019, mental health conditions such as depression and anxiety, accounted for 14.7% of total morbidity in the West Midlands region.
Figure 17a shows trends in wellbeing up to the end of March 2020, measured by four indicators, anxiety, low happiness, low life satisfaction and low worthwhile feelings. In the West Midlands region:
Figure 17c shows wellbeing trends at local authority level. There are some values missing for other local authorities; this is due to the areas having small sample sizes. Figure 17c shows that there is some variation:
Figure 18 demonstrates trends in self-harm and suicides. It shows that:
Severe mental illness (SMI) refers to those people with psychological problems that are so debilitating that they impact on all aspects of life. SMI includes conditions such as schizophrenia and bipolar disorder, as well as personality disorder, eating disorder and severe depression. SMI affects close to an estimated 551,000 people in England 29.
Many people with SMI also experience poor physical health and have higher premature mortality 30. PHE analysis of primary care data has shown that people with SMI had higher rates of obesity, asthma, diabetes, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, coronary heart disease, stroke and heart failure \(^{30}\). Data for deaths among those with SMI shows that:
As discussed earlier in the report, dementia and Alzheimer’s disease is a leading cause of death, and despite not featuring in the leading YLDs, dementia is a significant cause of ill health in the West Midlands region. The directly standardised rate of mortality for people aged 65 and over with dementia:
A particular commitment of the NHS in the 2014-15 mandate was to increase the number of people living with dementia to have a formal diagnosis, so their carers and healthcare staff can provide timely interventions and improve outcomes. As not all people with dementia have a formal diagnosis, the indicator ‘estimated dementia diagnosis rate (aged 65 and over)’ was created to compare the number of people estimated to have dementia with the number of people diagnosed with dementia (aged 65 and over). The target was to increase the estimated dementia diagnosis rate to 66.7%. Data shows that:
Care plan reviews are an important aspect of dementia care and the Quality and Outcomes Framework (QOF) target is that 75% of people with a dementia care plan get a review in the preceding 12 months.
Over the pandemic, across the West Midlands in general, there has been a reduction in the proportion of those with dementia receiving a care plan review. In 8 local authorities in the region, this now falls short of the 75% QOF target.
Cancers do not feature as leading causes of YLDs in the GBD data presented above, but are a significant cause of ill health and mortality in the West Midlands region.
Figure 19 shows that, since January 2018, the trend for new cancer diagnoses for the four major sites (breast, colorectal, prostate, and lung), and for all sites combined, was steady until the first COVID-19 restrictions in March 2020. During the spring and summer of 2020, new cancer diagnoses for all sites combined were at an unprecedented low. However, the number of new diagnoses had returned to historic levels by December 2020 with minor fluctuations. Similar trends were observed for the four major cancers.
Data that measured the number of first treatments for cancer over the pandemic shows that at a Midlands level, there was a deficit of 8,551 new treatments between March 2019 and September 2021 compared to baseline activity in the previous 2 years. There is a significant trend across deprivation groups, with a smaller deficit among the least deprived at 91% of baseline compared to 89% among the most deprived group.
Data on admissions to hospital during the pandemic for causes other than COVID-19 can help to understand the potential broader impacts of the pandemic on future health. The Health Profile for England report provides a national interpretation of a variety of metrics describing trends in the health service contact over the pandemic.
The reduced admissions, GP consultations, A&E attendances and health seeking behaviour observed during this period may be a factor in the increase in deaths at home presented earlier. They may also represent missed opportunities to provide secondary prevention treatment to patients, such as blood pressure and cholesterol control, and may also result in an increase in long-term health complications.
Data on hospital activity during the pandemic for causes other than COVID-19 can help to understand the potential broader impacts of the pandemic on future health. This shows that:
Risk factors play an important role in determining whether a person becomes ill, at what age, and the associated effect on quality of life. The Global Burden of Disease (GBD) divides risk factors into 3 main groups: behavioural, metabolic, and environmental and occupational. These are underpinned by the broader social and economic risk and protective factors that shape people’s lives such as education, income, work and social capital. These wider determinants are discussed in the next section of this report. At the time of writing GBD 2019 results for regions and local authorities were available but an update is due in 2022.
This section focuses on behavioural and metabolic risk factors in adults. It examines the contribution that these risk factors make to morbidity and mortality, using GBD data. Trends and inequalities in some of the risk factors making the largest contribution are examined.
Inequalities in risk factor prevalence contribute to inequalities in ill health and mortality. For example, inequality in smoking prevalence by deprivation is a large determinant of the inequalities in mortality and life expectancy. In 2019, national smoking prevalence remained much higher than average in some groups, for example, people in manual occupations (23.2%), people with a long-term mental health condition (25.8%), deprived areas (16.9%), and the mixed ethnic group (19.5%). The national prevalence of ‘increasing or higher risk’ drinking was greatest in the highest household income group at 34.8%. The national prevalence of obesity in adults was higher in the most deprived than least deprived areas, and there were wide inequalities in the proportion of adults meeting recommended level of physical activity and fruit and vegetable consumption. Health Survey for England evidence suggests that the prevalence of multiple risk factors is higher in men, the white ethnic group, lowest income households, most deprived areas, and people with long term health conditions 31.
Figures 20a and 20b show the top 15 risk factors associated with morbidity and mortality in the West Midlands, using data from GBD 2019. Please note that the disease burdens attributable to specific risks are independently calculated for each risk factor. Risk factors attributed to YLDs or deaths cannot be summed together. In addition, these risk factors are connected, and individuals often have more than one risk factor.
The risk factors making the biggest contribution to mortality in the West Midlands were tobacco, high systolic blood pressure, dietary risks and high fasting plasma glucose.
These risk factors also made a significant contribution to morbidity along with high body mass index (or obesity), alcohol, drug use and occupational risks.
Health Profile for England 2021 reported that the prevalence of ‘increasing and higher risk’ drinking increased in April 2020 and remained above pre-pandemic levels until June 2021. There has also been a reduction in physical activity levels, particularly in black and Asian groups and lower socioeconomic groups. The number of people trying to quit smoking during the pandemic increased, with over a third of smokers attempting to quit in the 3 months up to June 2021. Data on the impact of the pandemic on adult obesity is not yet available.
Figure 21a shows trends in smoking prevalence, obesity and hypertension (high blood pressure). Figure 21b shows variation across local authorities in these risk factors.
There is evidence of an increase in the rates of people attempting to quit smoking during the pandemic at national level. Although the rates have fluctuated, quit rates remained consistently higher than in 2019.
Recent methodological changes mean that current 2020 prevalence from the Annual Population Survey (APS) cannot be reliably compared to previous years. In order to present the trend in smoking prevalence, data in figure 21 uses the superseded methodology. This data shows that:
the smoking prevalence in 2019 among adults was 14.1% in the region, similar to the national average of 13.9% (figure 21a)
by local authority, in 2019 smoking prevalence was highest in Stoke-on-Trent at 18.2% and lowest in Worcestershire at 10.8% (figure 21b) Smoking prevalence remained much higher than average in different groups:
among people in manual occupations, 23.3% were estimated to be smokers in 2019, similar to the national average
prevalence is also higher in those with a long term mental health condition. In 2019/2020 the prevalence in the West Midlands was 25.2%, almost twice as high compared to the general population
As with other risk factors, there are inequalities in adult obesity prevalence by age, sex and deprivation. The Health Profile for England reported that in 2019 the prevalence of obesity was lowest in those aged under 25 with a gradual increase by age group up to ages 65 to 75 after which the prevalence decreased. This pattern was seen for both males and females. Obesity prevalence was lowest in the least deprived areas and highest in the most deprived, with a clearer gradient for females than males.
The impact of the pandemic on adult obesity levels is not known but given the changes in other risk factors presented (diet, physical activity and alcohol) it is possible we will see an increase in prevalence and a widening of inequalities.
Long-term trends show an increase in adult obesity in England, although with some fluctuation year to year. Data in figure 21 shows that:
Those who are classed as physically active are those who undertake at least the recommended level of 150 minutes of moderate intensity physical activity or equivalent per week. Data shows that:
As with children, England level findings in 2020-21 from Sport England uncovers wide inequalities in physical activity in adults. The proportion was lower for people who are in routine/semi routine jobs and those who are long-term unemployed or have never worked (52%); those living with a disability or long term health condition (45%); and Asian (48%) and black (52%) ethnic groups.
The proportion of the population meeting the recommended ‘5-a-day’ on a ‘usual day’ was 52.6% in the West Midlands, significantly lower than the England average of 55.4% in 2019/20.
There is some variation by local authority, with the highest percentage of the population eating the recommended 5 a day in Herefordshire at 62.7%. The lowest was in Stoke-on-Trent at 41.4%, significantly lower than the England and West Midlands averages.
The Health Profile for England 2021 reported wide inequalities at the England level: the recommended 5-a-day is lower for people who were unemployed (45.2%), living with a disability (52.1%), working in routine and manual occupations (45.8%), Asian (47.2%), black (45.7%), or living in the most deprived areas (45.7%) 32.
Increased blood glucose levels may lead to diabetes and can increase the risk of heart disease and stroke, kidney disease, vision and nerve problems. A blood glucose level that is above normal but not in the diabetic range is referred to as Non-diabetic hyperglycaemia (NDH). While we do not have regional data, it is estimated that approximately 5 million people in England have NDH and only 23.8% are diagnosed and recorded, but this proportion has increased steadily since the establishment of the Diabetes Prevention Programme 33 34.
Figure 21a shows that there was little change in the trends in QOF prevalence of high blood pressure (hypertension) between 2015 and 2020. There may have been some decrease in the diagnosis of hypertension due to limited GP appointments during the pandemic. Data shows that:
Increasing and higher risk drinking is defined as drinking more than 14 units per week and up to 35 for women and 50 units for men. In 2019 the Health Survey for England showed that:
Nationally, alcohol-specific mortality increased by around 20% between 2019 and 2020, driven chiefly by increases in mortality from alcoholic liver disease 35. Alcohol-specific mortality rates had been increasing prior to the pandemic, but this represented a significant acceleration in the upward trend. The increase in alcoholic liver disease mortality during 2020 has been linked to increased alcohol consumption among heavy drinkers who were already at risk of liver failure \(^{35}\). Alcohol mortality data from Fingertips shows that:
The Health Profile for England 2021 reported differences in drinking patterns by age and income. ‘Increasing or higher risk’ drinking was highest in the 55 to 64 age group, with the lowest rates among the younger age groups (under 25s), as well as those aged 75 or over. Consistent with wider evidence, in 2018-19 the prevalence of ‘increasing or higher risk’ drinking was greatest in the highest household income group, but greater harm, such as hospital admissions for alcohol-related conditions were more than double that in the least deprived areas. This gap has only slightly narrowed since 2010/2011 36. This inverse relationship between consumption and harm is often referred to as the ‘alcohol harm paradox’. Attempts to understand this have suggested interactions with other behaviours such as smoking, poor diet and exercise, among the reasons why alcohol-related harms are greater in more deprived areas 37.
Pre-pandemic survey-based estimates for recent drug use in England vary year-on-year. 9.4% of people aged 16 to 59 reported using any drug in the last year in 2019 - 2020. Rate of deaths due to drug misuse continue to be highest among those born in the 1970s. Regional differences are significant - the North East had the highest rate of deaths due to drug misuse and London the lowest (9.9 and 3.5 deaths per 100,000 respectively in 2018-2020). Date shows that:
The wider determinants of health are a diverse range of social, economic and environmental factors which influence people’s mental and physical health across the life course 38. This section presents some key indicators for a range of wider determinants of health including the built and natural environment, education, employment and income, and communities and social capital.
Here, the wider determinants of health are presented individually. However, Marmot et al; 39 describe how “intersections between socioeconomic status, ethnicity and racism intensify inequalities in health for ethnic groups”, and that “the cumulative experiences of multiple forms of disadvantage interact with and are exacerbated by features of the communities in which people live”. The complexity of these interactions, referred to as intersectionality, are an important driver of the inequalities in risk factors and health outcomes presented throughout this report. The COVID-19 pandemic has impacted these determinants in complex ways through school and business closures, and changes in employment patterns.
Good employment improves health and wellbeing across people’s lives, boosting quality of life and protecting against social exclusion.
Figure 22 shows that, for the West Midlands, employment had been increasing up to 2019/20 to 73.9%. However, within the first year of the pandemic, employment had shown a downturn to 73.7% in 2020/21. Compared to England (75.1%), the West Midlands had significantly lower employment rates. There are differences between males and females in the region:
There were inequalities in employment rates at local authority level across the region in 2020/21:
The COVID-19 pandemic has had a substantial impact on employment patterns and opportunities. The proportion of adults claiming unemployment benefits more than doubled between March 2020 and May 2020 and remained high into 2021. There is evidence that the economic impacts of the pandemic affected young people disproportionately. At the end of January 2021, the take up rate of eligible employees that made a claim to HMRC under the furlough scheme was highest in those aged under 18 (34.5%) and those aged 18 to 24 (21.1%). There has also been a decline in the number of 16 and 17 year olds in employment, from 22.5% in the 3 month period March to May 2020, to 13.9% in the comparable period in 2021. In November 2020, the arts, entertainment and recreation industry and the accommodation and food service industry had the highest percentage of employees on furlough leave at 33.6% and 21.9% respectively. These are industries with a high proportion of the workforce who are relatively young \(^{24}\).
TThe Minimum Income Standard (MIS) is defined as not having enough income to afford a ‘minimum acceptable standard of living’, based on what members of the public think is enough money to live on 40. Figure 23 shows that:
Many physical and mental health outcomes improve incrementally as income rises 41 42. Income is related to life expectancy, disability free life \(^{42}\), and self-reported health 43. The relationship operates through a variety of mechanisms. Financial resources determine the extent to which a person can both invest in goods and services which improve health and purchase goods and services which are bad for health. Low income can also prevent active participation in social life and day to day activities, affecting feelings of self-worth and status 44. It can also influence health through feelings of shame, low self-worth and exclusion 45.
The quality of the built and natural environment such as air quality, quality of and access to green spaces, and housing quality all affect health. Poor housing has a negative effect on our physical and mental health, particularly for older people, children, disabled people and individuals with long-term illnesses. Homelessness and the use of temporary accommodation remain at high levels in England 46. Data shows that:
Fuel poverty is now measured by the new Low Income Low Energy Efficiency (LILEE) statistic 47. A household is defined as fuel poor if it has income below a certain level after accounting for fuel costs, and a low energy efficient home. Data shows that:
Living in a greener environment can promote and protect good health, aid recovery from illness and help with managing poor health. Green space can help to bind communities together, reduce loneliness, and mitigate the negative effects of air pollution, excessive noise, heat and flooding 48. The Monitor of Engagement with the Natural Environment (MENE) survey collected information on the utilisation of outdoor space for exercise/health reasons between 2009 and 2019. Regional level data is available for this for the year 2015/16, showing that:
Educational attainment is strongly linked with health behaviours and outcomes. Better-educated individuals are less likely to suffer from long term diseases, to report themselves in poor health, or to suffer from mental health conditions such as depression or anxiety 49. Education provides knowledge and capabilities that contribute to mental, physical, and social wellbeing. Educational qualifications are also a determinant of an individual’s labour market position, which in turn influences income, housing and other material resources associated with health. Data on child development measures are referred to under the child development section of the child health chapter earlier in this report. It indicates that, compared to the national average, fewer children in the region are reaching a good level of development at the end of Reception.
In 2020, for older children, the percentage of 16 to 17 year olds who are not in education, employment or training (NEETs) for the West Midlands region was 5.7%, statistically significantly higher than the national average of 5.5%. The percentage was significantly higher than the national average in Worcestershire (5.9%), Stoke (7.0%), Birmingham (8.5%) and Shropshire (10.3%), and increased when compared to 2019.
Health protection issues include the prevention and control of all types of infectious diseases, and chemical and environmental threats to the health of the population.
Over the past century, there has been a considerable reduction in the number of deaths from infectious diseases. However, the COVID-19 pandemic has demonstrated how threats from new infectious diseases can emerge and will continue to do so as a result of a whole range of global factors.
Environmental threats include factors such as air pollution, climate change and flooding. Climate change is a risk to health both nationally and globally. It affects all aspects of our everyday life and our environment, including the places we live and the air we breathe, as well as our access to food and water 50.
It is not possible to cover all health protection issues in this report. This section presents specific information on air pollution, sexually transmitted infections, tuberculosis (TB), vaccinations and vaccine preventable infections, and AMR.
Air pollution can contribute to cardiovascular and respiratory conditions and shorten lives. It is estimated that long-term exposure to the air pollution mixture in the UK has an annual effect equivalent to 28,000 to 36,000 deaths 51.
Social restrictions implemented during the pandemic meant that there were fewer vehicles on the roads, as people were asked to stay at home, which had a favourable impact on air pollution levels. Motor vehicle use fell dramatically during the first (March 2020) and third (January 2021) national lockdowns in England, but by the end of July 2021 were similar to previous years \(^{24}\).
Figure 24 presents the annual concentration of human-made fine particulate matter, adjusted to account for population exposure. Fine particulate matter is also known as PM2.5 and has a metric of micrograms per cubic metre (\(\mu\)g/\(m^{3}\)). Figure 24 shows that:
The epidemiology of sexually transmitted infections (STIs) has changed markedly over the last two decades, reflecting changes in demographics, individual behaviours, surveillance techniques, diagnostics and treatments. There has been a continued decline in the rate of new HIV diagnoses 52 due to a combination of testing, pre-exposure prophylaxis, rapid linkage to treatment and support for those diagnosed with HIV to attain viral suppression. There has also been a decline in the rate of genital warts following the introduction of the HPV vaccination programme. Trend data shows that:
the diagnostic rates per 100,000 for chlamydia (aged 25+), gonorrhoea and syphilis increased in the West Midlands region between 2012 and 2019. The diagnostic rate per 100,000 for genital warts decreased since 2012. 2020 saw a decline in the detection rates of all STIs.
diagnostic rates per 100,000 in the West Midlands region in 2020 were:
at local authority level, the incidence of these infections followed similar trends. However, there was wide variation across the region in 2020:
The measures taken to control the COVID-19 pandemic resulted in a drop in the number of people accessing services. Reduced demand for these services during this time may have been influenced by compliance with social distancing measures and changes in risk perception and behaviour but may also indicate undetected infections. The full impact on infection transmission and long-term health outcomes will take time to emerge and evaluate 53.
The number of new cases of tuberculosis (TB) have fallen dramatically in England over the last century 54. Over the last 10 years, there has been a steady decline in the incidence rate (new cases per 100,000 population) but then a levelling off in more recent years (Figure 26a), at both national and regional level. Figure 26 shows:
by 2020, the incidence rate per 100,000 of TB was 9.2 in the region, significantly higher than the national average of 7.3
all local authorities have followed a similar trend to that seen regionally. In 2018-2020, Wolverhampton had the thirteenth highest rate nationally at 19.9 per 100,000. In recent years, Coventry, Sandwell, Birmingham, and Walsall also had significantly higher rates of TB than the national average
Rates of TB are higher in people born outside of the UK, particularly those of Indian, Pakistani or black African ethnicity, than in people born inside the UK. It was also higher in the most deprived than the least deprived areas and more than a fifth of UK born cases have a known social risk factor such as homelessness or drug use.
As a result of effective vaccination programmes the incidence of many diseases has reduced significantly over time and the importance of vaccination in controlling infectious diseases is highlighted by the COVID-19 pandemic as discussed earlier. Data shows that:
Across the country, uptake rates for influenza vaccination in winter 2020 to 2021 were higher than they had been in previous years due to increased efforts to reach as many people as possible and increased awareness due to the COVID-19 pandemic. As a consequence of this and the social distancing measures introduced for the COVID-19 pandemic influenza-like illness was much lower in winter 2020 to 2021 than in other seasons 55.
Advice from the Joint Committee on Vaccination and Immunisation (JCVI) on routine childhood immunisations stated that children should continue to receive vaccinations according to the national schedule during the COVID-19 pandemic 56. Measles is a highly infectious disease which can only be controlled by vaccination. People who have not received 2 doses of the MMR (measles, mumps, rubella) vaccine are at risk of developing measles. Data shows that:
Antibiotic-resistant bloodstream infections rose by an estimated 32% between 2015 and 2019 in England 57. Figure 27a shows the trend in the rate of antibiotic prescribing in primary care in England and the West Midlands between 2015 and 2020. Antibiotic prescribing in primary care is often measured in STAR-PU, which are weighted units to allow comparisons adjusting for the age and sex of the population. It shows that:
Members of the Local Knowledge and Intelligence Service (LKIS) Midlands:
Janine Dellar, Rebecca Elleray, Dorcas Ogunsumi, Karandeep Kaur, Paul Lester, George Fowajuh, Anam Khan, Matthew Francis, Robyn Bates
Other contributing members from LKIS:
Emily Baldwin and James Brett
To access reference 3, please sign up to the “OHID Midlands” knowledge hub group (if you haven’t already) using the following link: https://khub.net/group/guest/home. From the homepage, select “Groups”, “My Groups”, then “OHID Midlands”. Go to the “Library” folder and select “4. Local K&I reports and publications”. Select the report titled “West Midlands Disparity Report”.
To access reference 13, please sign up to the “OHID Midlands” knowledge hub group (if you haven’t already) using the following link: https://khub.net/group/guest/home. From the homepage, select “Groups”, “My Groups”, then “OHID Midlands”. Go to the “Library” folder and select “4. Local K&I reports and publications”. Select the report titled “Infant Mortality in the West Midlands - what have we learned 5 years on”.
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