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Overview

This report is a comprehensive review of health in the South East region and builds on the findings of the Health Profile for England (HPfE) 2021 [1].

This report includes a set of important health-related topics based on the Health Profile of England. It highlights the universal impact of COVID-19 as well as presenting inequalities between the least and most deprived areas, and variation in health behaviours seen in each region in England. As we move into the post pandemic and recovery phase there are emerging opportunities to sustainably tackle the historical and emerging challenges through the Levelling Up and soon to be published Disparities White Papers. Action will be supported via greater integration between the NHS and social care enabled by the development of Integrated Care Systems.

The data in this report provides evidence of the impact of COVID-19 on life expectancy, increasing risk factors in our population and the impact on the determinants of health which will have an enduring and long-term impact on the health of our population. Healthy life expectancy at birth had started to decrease or level off in most regions before the pandemic. This represents an increasing number of years lived in poor health, resulting in a reduced ability to work, a reduced sense of wellbeing and an increased need to access services. In all regions obesity was the largest contributor to morbidity. Smoking and diabetes were the second and third largest contributors although their placing varied in different regions.

In many areas we have seen a widening of inequalities between the most and least deprived areas. The harms to health are not uniform, data in this report tells a compelling story about widening health inequalities and variations in health behaviours. There are also areas of improvement: the proportion of mothers smoking at the time of delivery and antibiotic prescribing both continue to decrease.

Taken together, this data confirms that we are now observing the direct and indirect impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic on all parts of society, with many chronic health conditions worsening and most historically disadvantaged areas being further so. This has resulted in greater health need and widening health inequalities in all parts of the nation. The findings reinforce the need for targeted increases of clinical and preventive service recovery programmes with a resolute focus on secondary prevention called for in the NHS Core20Plus5 approach to reducing health inequalities. As we have learned throughout the pandemic the nature and scale of the challenges cannot be met by any single agency. We must harness the full potential of our newly transformed public health and health care systems, guided by the new national strategies and frameworks, working closely with our partners in place, and engaging and mobilising local communities. Ultimately, this data confirms areas for system-wide prioritisation, mobilisation and action.

Introduction

This profile brings together data and knowledge to give a broad picture of health in the South East. The report provides a regional view of health and indicators presented in the Health Profile for England 2021 [1], first produced by Public Health England (PHE) in 2017.

As the first edition of Health Profile for South East region, the report includes public health intelligence about prevalence, regional trends, local authority comparisons, and health inequalities. The interactive charts and interpretation are grouped into the following sections:

Summary points are included at the beginning of each section, followed by detailed analysis and charts.

The data and evidence in the report are provided to support policy makers and practitioners, to inform health improvement activities and support a reduction in health inequalities in their policy areas.


Chart format

Charts in this report follow a standard format, with 3 sections for each topic area:

Trends - overall data for the key indicator used in South East, usually as a trend over several years. Regions are defined as government regions. Where this isn’t possible other geographical region definitions are used as indicated in the supporting information.

Inequalities - how the indicator varies between different groups in South East, by protected characteristics such as age, sex and ethnicity or categories of socioeconomic deprivation where possible. Some inequalities information presented at national level in the Health Profile for England 2021 is not available at regional and sub-regional level.

Sub-regional comparison - indicator data is usually presented at the Upper Tier Local Authority (UTLA) level (counties and unitary authorities) on a separate tab. In some cases, data is available at Lower Tier Local Authority (LTLA) Level (districts and unitary authorities). UTLAs/LTLAs affiliated with the government region are shown unless stated otherwise. UTLA codes and boundaries are subject to change after the data is released. For some figures in the report there is no data for Buckinghamshire. This is because of the change from a county council to a unitary authority and data for the time period reported is not available for the new geography.

It is not always possible to use the same indicator for the trends, inequalities and sub-regional comparisons within each topic area.


This report builds on the methodology used in the Health Profile for England 2021, with minor amendments to enable regional and sub-regional comparisons, and to account for methodological changes that have occurred since the publication of the Health Profile for England 2021. Further information on methods, data and definitions is available here.

Main findings

The data in this report describes some of the important factors affecting the health of the population of the South East, using data that was available up to the end of January 2022. It also provides examples of how the pandemic may have exacerbated some existing inequalities.

1. Mortality was higher than previous years with some widening inequalities

By the end of 2021, there had been over 19,000 deaths reported within 28 days of a positive test for COVID-19 in the South East. In 2020 COVID-19 had become the leading cause of death for males in the region and the second largest cause of death among females after dementia and Alzheimer’s disease.

Compared to the death rates in previous years, deaths from all causes during the pandemic were 1.1 times higher in females and 1.12 times higher in males. Deaths were higher than expected in all age groups over 25, associated with a significant reduction in life expectancy of 0.8 years for females and 0.9 years for males from 2019 to 2020. Excess deaths were also particularly high in members of Asian, Mixed and Other ethnic groups.

The impact on existing health inequalities in mortality and life expectancy was still evident. The differences in life expectancy between the most and least deprived in the region increased for males (by 0.9 years to a difference of 8.3 years), although for females the gap decreased slightly (by 0.6 years to a difference of 5.8 years).

Whilst life expectancy improved overall for both females and males between 2010 and 2019, healthy life expectancy fell, with people living more years in poor health. This has implications for health services and social care, as well as for lifelong health promotion.

2. Improvements in child health have been slowing down

In the South East, there has been a rise in the proportion of babies born with low birthweight at full term since 2016. In 2020 there were 5 local authorities in the South East that had statistically significantly higher proportions of low birthweight compared to the regional value: Portsmouth, Reading, Slough, Southampton and Windsor and Maidenhead. Infant mortality rates have been falling, but there was a rise between 2014-16 and 2017-19 although the trend is now downwards again. Child development at the end of Reception has improved since 2012/13, although the trend is now flat. Females have persistently higher levels of development than males, and children eligible for free school meals have persistently lower levels of achievement than the average. This gap is not closing.

Across the South East, there have been no improvements in childhood obesity rates, and it has been very difficult to measure these during the pandemic. Seven local authorities had particularly high rates of obesity in Reception and/or Year 6 in 2019/20: Kent, Medway, Milton Keynes, Portsmouth, Reading, Slough and Southampton.

However, there have been some improvements in indicators of child health. There has been a consistent fall in the rate of under 18 conceptions across the South East since 1998, although two local authorities still have statistically significantly higher rates than England: Medway and Portsmouth.

There has also been a fall in the rates of hospital admissions caused by unintentional and deliberate injuries in children (0-14 years) across the South East.

3. Mental health and wellbeing have deteriorated

The Annual Population Survey includes four self-reported measures of wellbeing. Between 2019/20 and 2020/21, the proportions of people in the South East reporting high anxiety, low happiness, low satisfaction and low worthwhile all increased compared to the previous five years.

Across the South East, rates of hospital admissions for intentional self-harm rose between 2010/11 and 2020/21 from 184.8 per 100,000 to 201.9 per 100,000, with a statistically significantly higher rate for females (when compared with males). The rate for suicide also increased between 2010-12 and 2018-20 from 9.3 per 100,000 to 10.1 per 100,000, with a statistically significantly higher rate for males (when compared with females).

4. Deaths from Dementia and Alzheimer’s disease have increased

Dementia and Alzheimer’s disease remained the leading cause of death in females in the South East, and the third largest in males. Deaths from dementia and Alzheimer’s disease increased between 2019 and 2020 across most deprivation groups in the South East and contributed to the widening gap in life expectancy in males.

5. Diabetes has become a major disease burden

The rate of years lived with disability (YLD) for diabetes was the only disease to see a statistically significant increase between 1990 and 2019, increasing by 153.4%. In 2019 it was the fourth leading cause of YLDs in the South East. For the reporting period January 2020 to March 2021 (2020/21) approximately 40% of the estimated prevalence of non-diabetic hyperglycaemia (NDH) was diagnosed. In the NHS South East region in 2020/21, only 32.4% of those registered with NDH had been offered a place on an NHS DPP course.

6. Diagnosis of cancers was affected over the pandemic period

New cancer diagnoses declined over the early pandemic period, with a reduction in the number of all new cancers diagnosed in the South East from March 2020, which did not return to pre-pandemic levels until March 2021. By September 2021, monthly new diagnoses of prostate cancer had still not returned to pre-pandemic levels. The reduction in new cancer diagnoses may represent reductions in screening or delays in diagnosis over the pandemic period and could be associated with cancers presenting at more advanced stages.

7. Some important behavioural risk factors have not been improving

In the South East, the percentage of adults overweight or obese continued to rise from 59.7% in 2015/16 to 61.5% in 2019/20, with the highest percentages in Medway, Portsmouth and Kent. It is not yet known how adult obesity has been affected by the pandemic.

The prevalence of high blood pressure in the South East has shown little change from 13.6% in 2015/16 to 14.1% in 2020/21. It is likely that changes in access to health services over the pandemic period may have prevented the diagnosis of more cases of hypertension and made it more difficult to provide effective treatment. This is important, as hypertension is associated with heart and kidney disease and strokes. Across the South East, all Clinical Commissioning Groups saw a reduction in the percentage of hypertension patients treated to target in 2020/21 compared to the previous year.

However, there is some good news; smoking rates in adults (18+) have continued to fall in the South East from 15.9% in 2015 to 12.2% in 2019. There is considerable variation between communities and rates are higher in more deprived areas.

8. Employment rates have fallen over the pandemic

Good employment contributes to good health and wellbeing. The South East has a history of high employment as a region, but in the first year of the pandemic employment rates in people aged 16-64 fell from 79.6% in 2019/20 to 77.7% in 2020/21. Moreover, there have been persistent differences in employment rates between males and females and between local authorities. Restoring employment is an important aspect of recovering from the pandemic and in reducing inequalities.

Overview of the population of South East

Introduction to the South East

According to Office for National Statistics (ONS) mid-year population estimates for 2020, the South East has about 9.2 million residents, making it the largest region in England. It is made up of 19 Upper Tier Local Authorities (UTLA) and 64 Lower Tier Local Authorities (LTLA). It is important to note that this Health Profile for the South East is based on the Government Office Region - therefore, Milton Keynes is included.

Based on the 2018 subnational population projection, the South East is predicted to grow to 9.9 million residents by 2043, a growth rate of 8.8%. In 2020, more than 1.8 million of the residents were aged 65+, equating to almost 20% of the total population. This is predicted to increase by 46% to more than 2.5 million by 2043; meaning that 1 in 4 residents will be aged 65+ (26% of the total population).

Overall, the people of the South East have higher levels of employment (77.7%), lower levels of deprivation, and generally experience better health than the average for England. However, there are some notable exceptions, and are places and populations across the region who experience poorer health than others.

Life expectancy (at birth and for people over 65) was rising until 2019, but this has taken a recent downturn (Figure 5a), and healthy life expectancy has started to fall for females. Furthermore, there are wide variations in life expectancy between lower tier local authorities in the South East, with a gap of 7.2 years for males and 5.9 years for females in 2020. These are just some of the inequalities that have been exacerbated by COVID-19, so as the nation recovers from the pandemic, it is particularly important to highlight the causes of poorer health and health inequalities, and to deliver services in ways that will reduce the unacceptable variation in health between people and populations.

This Health Profile for the South East of England includes some important factors affecting the health of the population and illustrates some important variations between populations, places and shows trends over time. It is hoped that this regional profile will be helpful to support local planning decisions.

COVID-19

This section examines the direct impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on health with analysis of COVID-19 cases, death rates involving COVID-19, excess deaths during the pandemic and vaccination rates up to 31 December 2021. Hyperlinked data from the OHID COVID-19 dashboard is at 19 April 2022.

COVID-19 cases


Health Profile for England Highlights

England had experienced two main waves of cases by the end of June 2021. The first wave took place in spring 2020 and the second from autumn 2020 to spring 2021. The timing of the second wave varied throughout the country and cases in regions in the north of England were relatively high in October and November 2020. Whereas case rates in regions in the south of England increased later, in December 2020 and January 2021.


By the end of December 2021, 1,782,564 confirmed cases of COVID-19 had been reported in the South East. The region’s highest 7-day rolling case rate by specimen date occurred in the week ending 31 December 2021 at 1,591.8 cases per 100,000 population. Figure 1a shows the daily case numbers and the 7-day rolling average case numbers. The highest number of daily cases was on 29 December 2021 at 31,302.

COVID-19 affected some groups in the South East more than others, and this can be illustrated by variations in the cumulative confirmed case rates (cases confirmed by at least one positive test). It is important to note that testing strategies have also varied across different groups e.g. there was increased testing of NHS and care home staff, NHS patients and care home residents, and students and teachers in schools. Such differential testing may have contributed to the variations in recorded case rates between groups of people and between places. Figure 1b shows cumulative case rates for the period March 2020 to December 2021 for different population groups, as summarised below.

Age: recorded case rates were statistically significantly higher compared to the South East rate (18,820.5 per 100,000) in the 25-49 year age group (23,570.5 per 100,000) and the 0-24 year age group (23,155.0 per 100,000).

Deprivation: while there were differences by deprivation decile, there did not seem to be a clear pattern in recorded case rates. Recorded case rates were highest in the least deprived decile (decile 10) at 19,327.5 per 100,000 population, and lowest in the next least deprived decile (decile 9) at 18,618.1 per 100,000 population. The most deprived decile (decile 1) had a similar rate to the South East regional value.

Ethnicity: recorded case rates were statistically significantly higher when compared to the South East rate (18,820.5 per 100,000) for the ‘Any other’ ethnic group (23,599.8 per 100,000), ‘black/black British’ (22,863.1 per 100,000) and ‘Asian/Asian British’ (21,376.4 per 100,000).

Population density: while there were differences in recorded case rates by population density, the pattern was not clear. Recorded case rates were lowest in the most densely populated decile at 17,779.6 per 100,000 and next lowest in the least densely populated decile at 18,099.7 per 100,000. Recorded case rates were higher than the South East regional value (18,820.5 per 100,000) in population density deciles 4-9.

Sex: recorded case rates were statistically significantly higher in females (19,564.5 per 100,000) than males (17,984.2 per 100,000).

Figure 1c shows cumulative case rates and 7-day average case rates by UTLA at the end of December 2021. The cumulative case rate was highest in Slough at 22,521.5 per 100,000 population (crude rate) and Milton Keynes had the highest 7-day average case rate at 2,011.1 per 100,000 population (crude rate). It should be noted that comparison of cases by local authority at a point in time could be misleading because of the factors (such as testing in an area) that can affect case rates.

Figure 1 - COVID-19 cases

Figure 1b - Inequalities

Source: OHID COVID-19 Health Inequalities Monitoring for England (CHIME) tool Date accessed: 23/02/2022 Note: Source data are updated monthly and historic data may be revised. Download data

Figure 1c - Local Authority

Source: UKHSA COVID-19 dashboard Date accessed: 23/02/2022 Note: Source data are updated daily and historic data may be revised. Download data

Deaths involving COVID-19

By the end of December 2021, 19,315 deaths had been reported within 28 days of being identified as a COVID-19 case (by a positive test) in the South East.

Figure 2a shows the daily and the 7-day average number of deaths where COVID-19 was mentioned on the death certificate. The highest number of daily deaths was 294 on 19 January 2021.


Health Profile for England Highlights

Inequalities in death rates from COVID-19 largely reflect inequalities in COVID-19 case rates. However, they are also influenced by differences in survival following COVID-19 infection. During the first wave of the pandemic in England, people aged over 80 years were 70 times more likely to die from COVID-19 once infected, compared with those aged under 40 years [2]. Survival was higher in females than males, and after controlling for age, deprivation and pre-existing health conditions, survival among many ethnic minority groups remained lower than the white group. The Bangladeshi ethnic group had the poorest chance of survival and had 1.88 times the odds of dying once diagnosed than the white ethnic group. The Pakistani, Chinese, and black other ethnic groups had 1.35 to 1.45 times the odds of dying once diagnosed and the Indian group 1.16 [3].


In the South East, there are wide inequalities in death rates involving COVID-19 between March 2020 to December 2021, as shown in Figure 2b.

Age: cumulative mortality rates were by far the highest in people aged 85 years or older (4106.3 per 100,000). They were also statistically significantly higher than the rate for all people in the South East (239.5 per 100,000) for those aged 75-84 years (1,145.8 per 100,000) and those aged 65-74 years (356.1 per 100,000).

Deprivation: cumulative age-standardised mortality rates were highest in the most deprived deprivation decile at 379.3 per 100,000 population and decreased across the deciles to the lowest rate of 165.7 per 100,000 population in the least deprived decile.

Ethnicity: cumulative age-standardised mortality rates were statistically significantly higher when compared to the rate for the South East (239.5 per 100,000) in the ‘Any other ethnic group’ (421.8 per 100,00), ‘Asian/Asian British’ (419.3 per 100,000), and ‘black/black British’ (339.5 per 100,000) ethnic groups.

Population density: cumulative age-standardised mortality rates were highest in the most densely populated areas at 334.3 per 100,000 population, and lowest in the least populated areas at 188.7 per 100,000 population.

Sex: cumulative age-standardised COVID-19 mortality rates were statistically significantly higher for males (307.2 per 100,000) than females (186.9 per 100,000).

Figure 2c shows the highest cumulative age-standardised COVID-19 mortality rate was in Slough at 466.0 per 100,000 population. Oxfordshire had the lowest rate at 169.6 per 100,000 population.

Figure 2 – COVID-19 deaths

Figure 2b - Inequalities

Source: OHID COVID-19 Health Inequalities Monitoring for England (CHIME) tool Date accessed: 23/02/2022 Note: Source data are updated monthly and historic data may be revised. Download data

Figure 2c - Local Authority

Source: OHID COVID-19 Health Inequalities Monitoring for England (CHIME) tool Date accessed: 23/02/2022 Note: Source data are updated monthly and historic data may be revised. Download data

Excess mortality during the COVID-19 pandemic

Excess mortality is a measure of how much higher all-cause mortality was in the pandemic period than would have been expected, based on previous years, had the pandemic not occurred. These figures account for inequalities prior to the pandemic and therefore reflect the disproportionate direct and indirect impact of the pandemic on different groups.

Figure 3a displays the weekly number of excess deaths in the South East from 27 March 2020 to 31 December. The weekly numbers are variable, but peak excess deaths of around 1,500 were seen in mid to late April 2020. For the period March 2020 to June 2020 there were typically less deaths than expected.


Health Profile for England Highlights

Nationally, there was an association between deprivation and excess mortality, with an excess mortality ratio of 1.17 in the most deprived areas and 1.13 in the least deprived areas. As with the regional figures, this considers any existing inequality in mortality by deprivation. So, greater excess mortality in deprived areas is an indication that COVID-19 has exacerbated existing inequalities by deprivation. Further analysis has shown that among black and Asian groups excess mortality in those aged under 75 did not vary by deprivation and was high across all deprivation groups. This indicates that the excess mortality in those aged under 75 in the black and Asian groups cannot be explained by deprivation and other factors play a role [4].


Figure 3b shows that between 27 March 2020 and 31 December 2021 the cumulative excess mortality ratio for the South East was 1.105. This means that there were 1.105 times more deaths in this period than expected. There was variation across different groups as summarised below.

Age: cumulative mortality was higher than expected in age groups over 25, with the highest excess mortality ratio in the 50-64 age group, for both males and females.

Deprivation: for females in the South East, there was a general increase in the excess mortality ratio as deprivation decreased, with a ratio of 1.03 in the most deprived and 1.12 in the least deprived quintiles. For males there was little apparent relationship between cumulative excess mortality and deprivation quintile, with the ratio ranging from 1.1 in the most deprived and least deprived quintile, and 1.13 in quintiles 2-4.

Ethnicity: cumulative excess mortality ratios were highest for people recorded as ‘Other ethnicity’ at 1.82 and 1.59 for females and males respectively. This compares to 1.09 times higher for ‘white’ females and 1.11 times higher for ‘white’ males. Males from ‘Asian’ and ‘Mixed’ ethnic groups had cumulative excess mortality ratios of 1.31 and 1.19 respectively.

Sex: the cumulative excess mortality ratio was 1.1 for females and 1.12 for males.

UTLA: the cumulative excess mortality ratio for UTLAs in the South East was highest in Slough at 1.22.

Figure 3 – Excess deaths

Figure 3b - Inequalities & UTLA

Source: OHID Excess mortality in English regions dashboard Date accessed: 07/02/2022 Download data

COVID-19 vaccinations

In the South East region, by the end of December 2021, 83.0% (7,218,227) of people aged 12+ years had received 1 dose of COVID-19 vaccine, 76.7% (6,669,786) had received 2 doses and 57.6% (5,005,580) had received 3 doses.

Figure 4b shows that there was variation in the percentage of people aged 18+ receiving their 2 doses of COVID-19 vaccine across different population groups.

Country of birth: 2 doses of COVID-19 vaccine had been received by 90% of people aged 18+ born in the UK compared to 81.4% of those born elsewhere.

Deprivation: 2 doses of COVID-19 vaccine had been received by 92.7% of people aged 18+ in the least deprived quintile compared to 82.8% in the most deprived.

Disability status: there was no clear pattern by disability status.

English language proficiency: 2 doses of COVID-19 vaccine had been received by 89.7% of those whose main language was English compared to 75.4% of those whose is main language is not English.

Ethnicity: receipt of 2 doses of COVID-19 vaccine was lowest among people in the ‘black Caribbean’ ethnic group at 68.8%, whereas the highest uptake was 90.7% in the ‘white British’ group.

Household tenure: receipt of 2 doses of COVID-19 vaccine was highest in people who owned their property at 92.3% and lowest in those who did not own their property at 80% and 81% for those in social and private rented properties.

Religion: receipt of 2 doses of COVID-19 vaccine was lowest in people of Muslim faith at 76.3%. Uptake in people of Christian, Hindu and Jewish faiths was around 91%.

Rural and urban populations: 2 doses of COVID-19 vaccine had been received by 88.3% of people in urban areas compared to 91.5% of people in rural areas.

Sex: 2 doses of COVID-19 vaccine had been received by 90.2% of females compared to 87.6% of males.

Socio-economic classification: receipt of 2 doses of COVID-19 vaccine was generally higher in people with high social-economic status, with the lowest uptake in those with the status ‘never worked and long-term unemployed’ at 72.2%.

Figure 4c shows that by the end of December 2021, 64.4% of people in Slough had received second dose vaccinations compared to 82.8% of people in Hampshire second dose vaccinations.

Figure 4 – COVID-19 Vaccinations

Figure 4b - Inequalities

Source: OHID COVID-19 Health Inequalities Monitoring for England (CHIME) tool Date accessed: 23/02/2022 Note: Source data are updated monthly and historic data may be revised. Download data

Figure 4c - Local Authority

Source: UKHSA COVID-19 dashboard Date accessed: 02/03/2022 Note: Source data are updated daily and historic data may be revised. Download data

Life expectancy and mortality

This section examines trends and inequalities in life expectancy, all-cause mortality, and mortality from leading causes of death. It presents data for the pre-pandemic period, and 2020 data where it is available.

Life expectancy

Figure 5a shows that trends in life expectancy at birth from 2001 to 2020 have increased for both females and males in the South East. However, compared to 2019, life expectancy fell in 2020 by 0.8 years for females to 83.7 years and by 0.9 years for males to 80.1 years.

All deprivation deciles across the South East saw a fall in life expectancy between 2019 and 2020, as shown in Figure 5b. The slope index of inequality (SII) is a measure of the social gradient in an indicator and shows how much a health outcome varies with deprivation. It takes account of inequalities across the whole range of deprivation within an area and summarises this into a single number, assuming a linear relationship between the indicator and deprivation. The higher the value of the SII, the greater the inequality within an area.

Within the South East, the SII for life expectancy for females decreased from 6.4 years in 2019 to 5.8 in 2020, suggesting a decrease in the inequality in life expectancy by 0.6 years. However, for males the SII increased from 7.4 years to 8.3 from 2019 to 2020, suggesting an increase in the inequality in life expectancy of 0.9 years.

Figure 5c shows life expectancy at birth figures for 2020 by local authority for both females and males. Female life expectancy was significantly lower when compared to England for Medway (81.9 years), and Reading (81.1 years). Male life expectancy was significantly lower when compared to England for Southampton (77.6 years), Reading (77.5 years), Medway (77.3 years) and Slough (77.1 years).

Figure 5 – Life expectancy

Figure 5b - Inequalities

Source: OHID COVID-19 Health Inequalities Monitoring for England (CHIME) tool Date accessed: 02/03/2022 Note: SII = Slope Index of Inequality. See data and definitions document for more details. Download data

Figure 5c - Local Authority

Source: OHID public health profiles Date accessed: 02/03/2022 Download data

Child health

Every child having a good start in life is the foundation for future health and wellbeing. This section presents some important indicators of child health including low birthweight, infant mortality, early child development and child obesity.


Health Profile for England Highlights

In England the last two decades have seen overall improvements in babies born with a low birthweight, infant deaths and child development. However, in the years leading up to the coronavirus pandemic, improvements had slowed down.


Low birthweight

Low birthweight is associated with an increased risk of infant mortality, developmental problems in childhood and poorer health in later life [5-6].

Figure 9a shows the proportion of babies born at full term with a low birthweight (less than 2,500 grams) between 2006 and 2020 for the South East. There has been a marked increase between 2016 and 2020. While this remains statistically significantly better than England, the overall trend is statistically significantly worsening.

As shown in Figure 9b, in 2020 there were 5 local authorities in the South East that had statistically significantly higher proportions of low birthweight compared to the regional value (2.6%). These were Slough (4.3%), Windsor and Maidenhead (3.8%), Southampton (3.8%), Portsmouth (3.5%) and Reading (3.4%).

Figure 9 – Low birthweight

Figure 9b - Local Authority

Source: OHID Public Health Outcomes Framework Date accessed: 31/03/2022 Download data


Health Profile for England Highlights

The Health Profile for England examines inequalities in low birth weight at a national level. In 2018, the proportion of babies born at full term with a low birthweight in the most deprived areas was more than double the proportion in the least deprived areas, as measured by the Relative Index of Inequality (RII). The relative index of inequality is a summary measure of inequality. It measures the relative difference between the most and least deprived areas and is presented as a ratio. For low birthweight the RII is 2.2, meaning that the level in the most deprived areas is 2.2 times higher than the least deprived. The analysis for April 2020 to March 2021 suggested that these inequalities have remained throughout the pandemic [7].

There are well-established inequalities by ethnic group in low birthweight [8]. During April 2016 to March 2020 and April 2020 to March 2021, low birthweight was highest among Asian and black groups and lowest in the white group [7].


Infant mortality

Infant mortality includes all deaths within the first year of life. The majority of these are neonatal deaths which occur during the first month and the main cause is related to prematurity and preterm birth, followed closely by congenital anomalies [9]. Nationally, the rate of infant mortality increases as deprivation increases.

Figure 10a presents trends in infant mortality rates for the South East from 2001-03 until 2018-20, as three-year rolling averages to make it easier to see the overall trend. It shows that the rate of infant mortality fell from 4.3 per 1,000 live births to 3.5. However, there has been an increase from 2014-16 to 2017-19, with a slight downturn in 2018-20.

As shown in Figure 10b, in 2018-20 Oxfordshire (1.9 per 1,000) is the only local authority in the South East which has a statistically significantly lower infant mortality rate than the regional value (3.5 per 1,000). All other local authorities in the South East had rates that were not statistically different from the regional value.

Figure 10 – Infant mortality

Figure 10b - Local Authority

Source: OHID Public Health Outcomes Framework Date accessed: 31/03/2022 Download data

Child development

Starting primary school is a significant milestone in a child’s educational journey. Language and communication skills are fundamental to a child and young person’s potential development and achievements later in life [10]. Being able to express themselves, interact with peers and make themselves understood helps to build a child’s confidence and boost their self-esteem [11]. Inadequate communication skills can lead to poorer adult outcomes in literacy, mental health, and employment [12].

Figure 11a shows that the percentage of children achieving a good level of development at the end of Reception year has generally increased from 2012/13 to 2018/19 and remains above the England average, for both males and females. However, the percentage for males is consistently lower than for females. In 2018/19 the respective figures were 68.5% and 81.0%. The percentages for children eligible for free school meals were even lower at 48.2% for males and 63.3% for females, and this attainment gap has not narrowed.

As shown in Figure 11b there were 7 local authorities with statistically significantly lower percentages (for all children) than the regional value (74.6%) in 2018/19. These were Reading (69.2%), Portsmouth (69.4%), Southampton (71.1%), Brighton and Hove (71.5%), Isle of Wight (71.5%), West Sussex (71.9%) and Oxfordshire (73.5%). Again, there is much lower attainment by children eligible for free school meals.

Figure 11 – Child development

Figure 11b - Local Authority

Source: OHID Child and Maternal Health Profile Date accessed: 31/03/2022 Download data


Health Profile for England Highlights

Due to the pandemic, data on child development at the end of Reception year was not reported for the academic year September 2019 to July 2020. In March 2020, Early Years settings were closed to most children, with only children from key workers and vulnerable families continuing to attend (around 7% of children aged 2 to 4) [13]. Outside formal Early Years settings, young children may also have experienced a lack of social activities and interactions that would normally have helped to prepare them for the start of school, such as with grandparents and friends.

Although the full impact of the pandemic on early years development will not be known for some time, a study carried out by the Education Endowment Foundation (EEF) found that out of the schools in England surveyed, 76% reported that children who started school in the Autumn 2020 term needed more support than children in previous cohorts. Almost all surveyed schools indicated that they were concerned about pupils’ communication and language development (96%), personal, social and emotional development (91%) and levels of literacy (89%) [14].


Childhood obesity

Prevention and treatment of childhood obesity presents a significant public health challenge. Obesity in childhood can result in the early onset of cardio-metabolic, respiratory, and musculoskeletal conditions, as well as adverse psycho-social outcomes and an increased risk of living with obesity and associated mortality and morbidity later in life [15].

Figure 12a shows the prevalence of obesity in both males and females for Reception year and Year 6 children from 2006/07 to 2019/20. In the South East prevalence of obesity has increased for both sexes in both age groups. In 2019/20 8.6% of Reception year females were obese, compared with 9.2% of Reception year males. For Year 6 females the prevalence of obesity in 2019/20 was 15.7% compared to 19.8% of Year 6 males.

The variation in childhood obesity across local authorities in the South East is shown in Figure 12b for 2019/20. For Reception year children, Slough (11.9%), Medway (11.6%), Portsmouth (11.0%) and Kent (10.4%) had statistically significantly higher percentages of obesity than the regional value (8.9%). For Year 6 children Slough (24.9%), Southampton (23.8%), Medway (22.2%), Portsmouth (22.1%), Reading (21.4%), Kent (19.9%) and Milton Keynes (19.8%) had statistically significantly higher percentages of obesity than the regional value (17.8%).

The latest findings from the National Child Measurement Programme (NCMP) shows the prevalence of obesity (including severe obesity) had statistically significantly increased from 8.9% in Reception year in 2019/20 to 12.6% in 2020/21 [16]. For Year 6, the corresponding figures were 17.8% and 20.9%, also a statistically significant increase.

Figure 12 – Child obesity

Figure 12b - Local Authority

Source: OHID Child and Maternal Health Profile Date accessed: 31/03/2022 Download data


Health Profile for England Highlights

The Health Profile for England examined inequalities in child obesity at England level. In both age categories (Reception and Year 6), children in more deprived areas were more likely to be obese. In 2019/20 the percentage of obese children in Reception was 6.0% in the least deprived decile compared to 13.3% in the most deprived decile. For Year 6 children the percentage of obese children was 11.9% in the least deprived decile compared to 27.5% in the most deprived decile.

The HPfE also highlighted inequalities by ethnic group. In 2019/20, the black African ethnic group had the highest prevalence of obesity in both Reception (15.9%) and Year 6 children (30.5%) - statistically significantly higher than the England percentages (9.9% and 21.0% respectively). Although, there were other ethnic groups similarly high.

A link between weight gain and out of school time in the school holidays has previously been demonstrated [17]. The closure of schools, sporting and leisure facilities, park facilities and recreational areas, together with an increase in screen time over the pandemic period, led to a reduction in physical activity in children and young people [18] Recent evidence from Sport England suggested that in England, there has been a reduction in physical activity in boys, and an increase in physical activity for girls during the pandemic in England [19].


Health in adults

As well as life expectancy (how long the population could expect to live), it is also important to consider the quality of life or length of time spent in good health. This is described as “healthy life expectancy”. Information on healthy life expectancy is not yet available for the years covering the pandemic.

Healthy ageing

Figure 15a shows that in the South East healthy life expectancy for females, decreased by 1.2 years from 67 years in 2010-12 to 65.8 years in 2017-19. The average years of life lived in poor health for females in 2017-19 was 18.5 years. For males, healthy life expectancy decreased slightly by 0.2 years from 65.5 years in 2010-12 to 65.3 years in 2017-19. The average years of life lived in poor health for males in 2017-19 was 15.5 years.

Figure 15 – Healthy life expectancy

Leading causes of morbidity

The Global Burden of Disease (GBD) study estimates the number of years lived with disability (YLDs) as a way of describing the burden of morbidity. YLDs is a measure of morbidity that combines the prevalence of each disease with a rating of the severity of its symptoms (excluding death itself), to give an overall measure of the loss of quality of life. Figure 16a identifies the most common causes of morbidity in the South East for 1990 and 2019 according to GBD (as measured by age-standardised YLDs per 100,000 population). The top 3 leading causes of morbidity in the South East in 2019 were low back pain, depressive disorders, and headache disorders. For females, the top 3 were low back pain, headache disorders, and gynaecological diseases. For males, the top 3 were low back pain, diabetes mellitus, and depressive disorders.

Change between years should be interpreted with caution as it may reflect changes in methodology and categorisation. For both males and females, diabetes mellitus is the only cause to have a statistically significant change in its morbidity rate. The rate of YLDs increased by 153.4% between 1990 and 2019 and became the fourth leading cause of YLDs for all persons. In 2020/21 for the NHS South East region 495,137 people were on the diabetes register, accounting for 6.5% of the GP practice list size.

Figure 16 – Leading causes of morbidity

Figure 16a

Source: Global Burden of Disease Collaborative Network. Global Burden of Disease Study 2019 (GBD 2019) Results. Seattle, United States: Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME), 2020. Download data

Figure 16b - Local Authority

Source: Global Burden of Disease Collaborative Network. Global Burden of Disease Study 2019 (GBD 2019) Results. Seattle, United States: Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME), 2020. Download data

Mental health and wellbeing

According to the Global Burden of Disease study, mental health conditions such as depression and anxiety accounted for 14.6% of total morbidity (years lived with disability) in the South East in 2019 [22].

Figure 17a shows trends in self-reported wellbeing from 2011/12 to 2020/21, measured by four different indicators: anxiety, low happiness, low satisfaction and low worthwhile feelings. Comparing the years 2019/20 with 2020/21 can suggest how the COVID-19 pandemic was affecting wellbeing. In the South East, all four of these indicators deteriorated between 2019/20 and 2020/21. Between 2019/20 and 2020/21, the proportion of the population reporting high anxiety rose from 22.0% to 23.6%. The proportion of the population reporting feeling low happiness rose from 7.9% to 8.7%. The proportion of the population reporting feeling low satisfaction rose from 4.3% to 5.9%, and the proportion of the population reporting feeling low self-worth rose from 3.2% to 4.3%.

Variation in these self-reported wellbeing measures across the local authorities in the South East is shown in Figure 17b. Many local authorities are missing data due to small sample sizes. For the high anxiety indicator, there were 3 local authorities which had statistically significantly higher percentages than the regional value (23.6%). These were Brighton and Hove (30.8%), Windsor and Maidenhead (28.6%) and Milton Keynes (28.4%).

Figure 17 – Mental health and wellbeing

Figure 17b - Local Authority
<b>Source:</b> <a href = 'https://fingertips.phe.org.uk/public-health-outcomes-framework#page/0/gid/1000042/pat/15/par/E92000001/ati/6/are/E12000004/yrr/1/cid/4/tbm/1' target = '_blank'> OHID Public Health Outcomes Framework </a> <b>Date accessed:</b> 31/03/2022  <a href = 'https://fingertips.phe.org.uk/static-reports/health-profile-for-england/Data/South_East_017b_mental_health_and_wellbeing.csv' target = '_blank'><b>Download data</b></a>

Source: OHID Public Health Outcomes Framework Date accessed: 31/03/2022 Download data

Self-harm and suicide

Figure 18a shows that the rate of emergency hospital admissions for intentional self-harm in the South East increased from 184.8 per 100,000 in 2010/11 to 201.9 in 2020/21. The rate for suicide has also increased from 9.3 per 100,000 in 2010-12 to 10.1 in 2018-20.

In the South East in 2020/21 the rate of emergency hospital admissions for intentional self-harm was statistically significantly higher for females (275.1 per 100,000) than for males (131.3 per 100,000). In contrast, the rate of suicide in the South East in 2018-20 was statistically significantly higher for males (15.3 per 100,000) than for females (5.2 per 100,000).

Figure 18b shows that Southampton (372.9 per 100,000) has a statistically significantly higher rate of emergency hospitals admissions for self-harm in 2020/21 than any other upper tier local authority in the South East. Whilst there is variation in the suicide rate across local authorities, there are no statistically significant differences, due to small numbers and hence large confidence intervals. However, females have statistically significantly lower rates of suicide than men for all local authorities except Portsmouth and Reading (where the data is available for both sexes).

Figure 18 – Self-harm and suicide

Figure 18b - Local Authority

Source: OHID Public health profiles , Suicide Prevention Profile Date accessed: 31/03/2022 Download data

Dementia and Alzheimer’s disease

According to the Global Burden of Disease study, Alzheimer’s disease and other dementias accounted for 1.36% of total morbidity (years lived with disability) in the South East in 2019 and (as discussed earlier in the report) are a leading cause of death.

In the South East the recorded prevalence of dementia for people of all ages was 0.8% in 2020/21. For people aged 65 years and older recorded prevalence was 3.95% in 2020. The dementia 65+ estimated diagnosis rate for the South East was 60% in January 2022, compared to the England value of 61.6% (not statistically significantly different).

Cancer

According to the Global Burden of Disease study, cancers accounted for 2.03% of total morbidity (years lived with disability) in the South East in 2019 and (as discussed earlier in the report) are a leading cause of death.

Figure 19a shows that the trend in new cancer diagnoses for all sites combined and the four main cancers (breast, prostate, colorectal and lung) declined in March 2020. Cancer diagnoses began to increase again as the COVID-19 pandemic progressed. The total number of new cancer diagnoses in April and May 2020 were around a third lower than in the earlier months of 2020.

By September 2021, monthly new breast and colorectal cancer diagnoses were higher than in January and February 2020, before the pandemic. Monthly new lung cancer diagnoses were similar and new monthly prostate cancer diagnoses were lower in September 2021 than in January and February 2020.

Figure 19 – Cancer incidence

Cancer screening coverage fell during the pandemic in the South East for breast and cervical screening programmes. Breast cancer screening coverage statistically significantly decreased from 75.3% of eligible women (aged 53-70) screened in 2019 to 68.0% in 2021. Cervical cancer screening coverage for women aged 25 to 49 years also saw a statistically significant decrease from 71.4% in 2019 to 69.5% in 2021. Similarly, for women aged 50 to 64 years cervical screening coverage statistically significantly decreased from 76.4% of eligible women screened in 2019 to 74.8% in 2021. Conversely, bowel cancer screening coverage statistically significantly increased from 62.2% in 2019 to 68.0% in 2021.


Health Profile for England Highlights

There were reductions in new cancer diagnoses across all referral routes, but those following referral from screening showed the greatest reduction. From April to December 2020 the number of cases diagnosed following screening was less than half that in the equivalent period in 2019. Screening is a vital tool in early diagnosis of cancer, but the availability of screening programmes was reduced during 2020 [23].


Health service contact during the pandemic

Health seeking behaviour observed during the pandemic may represent missed opportunities to provide secondary prevention treatment to patients, such as blood pressure and cholesterol control, and may also result in an increase in long-term health complications.


Health Profile for England Highlights

Data on admissions to hospital during the pandemic for causes other than COVID-19 can help to understand the potential broader impacts of the pandemic on future health. For a wide range of reasons, data from the WICH tool shows there was a generally consistent pattern of reduced admissions from April to December 2020 compared with the baseline average for the equivalent period across 2018 and 2019. Overall, emergency and elective admissions were reduced for both males and females, and for all age groups, ethnic groups and deprivation groups. These patterns were also observed for Accident and Emergency (A&E) attendances and outpatient appointments [7].


Hospital outpatient attendances in the South East fell from 157.5 per 1,000 in January 2020 to 82.6 per 1,000 in April 2020. By March 2021, the rate (147.3 per 1,000) had increased back up in line with the pre-pandemic level in 2018-19.

Elective hospital admissions in the South East fell from 12.5 per 1,000 in January 2020 to 2.9 per 1,000 in April 2020. By June 2021, the rate (11.7 per 1,000) had increased back up in line with the pre-pandemic level in 2018-19.

Risk factors associated with ill health

Risk factors play an important role in determining whether a person becomes ill, at what age, and the associated effect on quality of life. The Global Burden of Disease (GBD) study divides risk factors into 3 main groups: behavioural, metabolic, and environmental and occupational. These are underpinned by the broader social and economic risk and protective factors that shape people’s lives such as education, income, work and social capital. These wider determinants are discussed in the next section of this report. At the time of writing, GBD 2019 results for regions and local authorities were available but an update is due later in 2022. This section focuses on behavioural and metabolic risk factors in adults.


Health Profile for England Highlights

Inequalities in risk factor prevalence contribute to inequalities in ill health and mortality. For example, inequality in smoking prevalence by deprivation is a large determinant of the inequalities in mortality and life expectancy. In 2019, smoking prevalence in England was much higher than average in some groups. For example, people in manual occupations (23.2%), people with a long-term mental health condition (25.8%), deprived areas (16.9%) and the mixed ethnic group (19.5%). The prevalence of ‘increasing or higher risk’ drinking was greatest in the highest household income group at 34.8%.

The national prevalence of obesity in adults was higher in the most deprived than least deprived areas, and there were wide inequalities in the proportion of adults meeting the recommended level of physical activity and fruit and vegetable consumption. Health Survey for England evidence suggested that prevalence of multiple risk factors is higher in men, the white ethnic group, lowest income households, most deprived areas, and people with long term health conditions [24].


Figure 20a shows that the risk factors making the largest contribution to morbidity in the South East are high body mass index, high fasting plasma glucose, tobacco, and alcohol use. Whereas the risk factors making the biggest contribution to mortality (Figure 20b) in the South East are tobacco, high blood pressure, diet, and high fasting plasma glucose. Please note that the disease burdens attributable to specific risks are independently calculated for each risk factor. Risk factors attributed to YLDs or deaths cannot be summed together.

Figure 20 – Risk factors

Figure 20a - Morbidity

Source: Global Burden of Disease Collaborative Network. Global Burden of Disease Study 2019 (GBD 2019) Results. Seattle, United States: Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME), 2020. Download data

Figure 20b - Mortality

Source: Global Burden of Disease Collaborative Network. Global Burden of Disease Study 2019 (GBD 2019) Results. Seattle, United States: Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME), 2020. Download data

Obesity

Figure 21a shows that in the South East, the percentage of adults overweight or obese increased from 59.7% in 2015/16 to 62.4% in 2020/21, but remains statistically significantly lower than England (63.5%).

Figure 21b shows that there was some variation by local authority in 2020/21, with the highest percentage of overweight or obese people in Medway (69.4%). This is statistically significantly higher than the South East percentage (62.4%). Other local authorities with a statistically significantly higher percentage than the South East were Milton Keynes (69.3%) and East Sussex (64.9%). The lowest percentage was in Windsor and Maidenhead (57%), statistically significantly lower than the South East percentage.


Health Profile for England Highlights

As with other risk factors, there are inequalities in adult obesity prevalence by age, sex and deprivation. HPfE reported that, in 2019, obesity was lowest in those aged under 25 with a gradual increase by age group up to ages 65-75, after which prevalence decreases. This pattern was seen for both males and females. Obesity prevalence was lowest in the least deprived areas and highest in the most deprived, with a clearer gradient for females than males.

The impact of the pandemic on adult obesity levels is not known but given the changes in other risk factors presented (diet, physical activity, and alcohol) it is possible we will see an increase and a widening of inequalities.


Blood glucose

Increased blood glucose levels may lead to diabetes and can increase the risk of heart disease, stroke, kidney disease, vision, and nerve problems. A blood glucose level that is above normal but not in the diabetic range is referred to as non-diabetic hyperglycaemia (NDH).

Analysis from 2015 estimated that there were approximately 810,000 people across the NHS South East region with NDH. For the reporting period January 2020 to March 2021 (2020/21) 332,925 patients had been diagnosed, which accounted for approximately 40% of the estimated prevalence [25]. The diagnosed prevalence increased across all CCGs in the region between 2017/18 and 2020/21. In 2020/21 the prevalence (as a percentage of the GP Practice list size for patients aged 17+) ranged from 2.2% in Berkshire West CCG to 7.3% in West Sussex CCG.

The NHS Diabetes Prevention Programme (NHS DPP) delivers evidence-based behavioural interventions that can prevent or delay the onset of Type 2 diabetes in adults who have been identified as having NDA. In the NHS South East region in 2020/21, 32.4% of those registered with NDH had been offered a place on an NHS DPP course [25]. This percentage increased across all CCGs in the region from 2017/18 to 2020/21. In 2020/21 values ranged from 20.9% in Kent and Medway CCG to 45.2% in East Sussex CCG.

Smoking

Figure 21a includes a chart which shows estimates of adult (aged 18+) smoking prevalence from the Annual Population Survey (APS) for the period 2015 to 2019. Over this period there was a reduction in smoking prevalence in the South East from 15.9% in 2015 to 12.2% in 2019. For every year shown in the chart the prevalence for the South East has been statistically significantly lower than the prevalence for England (the prevalence for England in 2019 was 13.9%).

Figure 21b includes a chart showing the variation in prevalence of adult smoking for local authorities in the South East in 2019. There were 6 local authorities that had a statistically significantly higher prevalence of smoking when compared to the South East prevalence. Smoking prevalence was highest in Brighton and Hove (17.5%) and lowest in Wokingham (8.4%).

Smoking prevalence remains much higher than average in some socio-economic groups. In the South East in 2019, the prevalence in routine and manual occupations (for those aged 18 to 64 years) was 23.7%, statistically significantly higher than the prevalence for the general working age population (14.3%).

Data from the GP Patient Survey (GPPS) shows that smoking prevalence is also higher in adults (18+) with a long term mental health condition. In 2019/20 the prevalence for the South East was 24.9% compared to 13.1% in the general adult population.


Health Profile for England Highlights

There is early evidence that the pandemic may have had a positive impact on enabling some people to quit or reduce smoking. Data from the UCL smoking tool kit, reported in the WICH tool, shows that over a third of smokers attempted to quit in the 3 months up to June 2021. Over-the-counter nicotine replacement therapy (NRT) and e-cigarettes are still the most commonly used aids for quitting. However, during the pandemic there has been a reduction in their use, which suggests an increase in people trying to quit unaided [7].


Alcohol

‘Increasing or higher risk drinking’ is defined as drinking more than 14 units per week, but up to 35 units for women and up to 50 units for men. In 2019 the Health Survey for England showed that the prevalence of ‘increasing or higher risk drinkers’ in the South East was 19% and the proportion of ‘higher risk drinkers’ (more than 35 units for women or more than 50 units for men per week) was 5%.

Health Survey for England estimates of the percentage of adults drinking over 14 units of alcohol a week for local authorities for the period 2015-18 vary from 7.9% (Slough) to 40.7% (Brighton and Hove and the Isle of Wight). Brighton and Hove and the Isle of Wight have statistically significantly higher percentages compared to the South East value (22.9%).

The number of deaths related to alcohol in the region was 3,132 in 2020, which represents a directly standardised rate of 33.9 per 100,000 population - statistically significantly lower than England.


Health Profile for England Highlights

HPfE 2021 reported that the prevalence of ‘increasing and higher risk’ drinkers went up in April 2020 and remained above pre-pandemic levels until June 2021. Also, that there were differences in drinking patterns by age and income. ‘Increasing or higher risk’ drinking was highest in the 55 to 64 age group. The lowest rates were among younger age groups (under 25s), as well as those aged 75 or over.

Prevalence of ‘increasing or higher risk’ drinking was greatest in the highest household income group. However, the rate of hospital admissions for alcohol-related conditions, in 2018 to 2019, in the most deprived groups was more than double that in the least deprived areas. The gap has changed little since 2010/2011 [26]. This inverse relationship between consumption and harms is often referred to as the ‘alcohol harm paradox’. Attempts to understand this have suggested interactions with other behaviours such as smoking, poor diet and exercise, among the reasons why alcohol-related harms are greater in more deprived areas [27].


High blood pressure

Figure 21a shows that the prevalence of high blood pressure (hypertension) in the South East has shown little change between 2015/16 (13.6%) and 2020/21 (14.1%). There was some variation by local authority for 2020/21, as shown in Figure 21b. The highest prevalence of hypertension was for the Isle of Wight at 18% and the lowest for Brighton and Hove at 9.6%. However, this indicator only includes diagnosed prevalence. The Public Health England (PHE) CVD Prevention Packs show the percentage of the estimated hypertension prevalence which has been diagnosed. In 2019/20 this ranged from 53.2% in Brighton and Hove CCG to 72.6% in Fareham and Gosport CCG. At a NHS South East regional level the corresponding percentage was 65.0%, with an estimated 308,420 patients needed to be diagnosed to meet the national ambition of 80% detection.

Once diagnosed, it is important that a patient’s blood pressure is managed. Again, there was variation in management across the region, ranging from 64.4% of hypertension patients treated to target in Surrey Heath CCG to 71.5% in South Eastern Hampshire CCG in 2019/20. For the region the corresponding percentage was 68.8%, with an estimated 150,560 patients needed to be treated to target to meet the national ambition of 80%.

COVID-19 had an impact on the management of hypertension patients. According to CVD Prevent data, the percentage of hypertension patients managed to target in 2020/21 ranged from 41.0% in East Sussex CCG to 54.0% in Oxfordshire CCG [28]. All CCGs saw a fall compared to the previous year. For the region the corresponding percentage for 2020/21 was 45.8%. This drop is only partly due to a change in the health status of patients, as there is also a known drop in the percentage of patients who have had a blood pressure reading recorded during the pandemic period.

Diet

The proportion of the population eating the recommended ‘5-a-day’ portions of fruit or vegetables on a ‘usual day’ in the South East was 58.3%, statistically significantly higher than the England value of 55.4% in 2019/2020. There was some variation by local authority where the highest percentage of the population eating the recommended 5 a day was in Brighton and Hove at 65.3%. The populations with the lowest percentages were in Slough and Portsmouth at 49.7%. This was statistically significantly lower than the England and South East percentages.


Health Profile for England Highlights

HPfE 2021 reported wide inequalities in the proportion of people eating the recommended 5-a-day. It was lower for people who were unemployed (45.2%), living with a disability (52.1%), working in routine and manual occupations (45.8%), Asian (47.2%), black (45.7%), or living in the most deprived areas (45.7%).


Figure 21 – Risk factors prevalence

Figure 21b - Local Authority

Source: Wider Impacts of COVID-19 on Health: Wellbeing and behavioural risk factors , Wider Impacts of COVID-19 on Health: Hypertension QOF Date accessed: 31/03/2022 Download data

Drug use


Health Profile for England Highlights

Pre-pandemic survey-based estimates for recent drug use in England vary year on year. 9.4% of people aged 16 to 59 reported using any drug in the last year in 2019 to 2020 [29].


In the South East region, the rate of death due to drug misuse was 4.0 per 100,000 and was statistically significantly lower than the rate for England (5.0 per 100,000). Looking at the rate of death due to drug misuse for 2018-20 by local authority, Brighton and Hove (10.9 per 100,000) and Portsmouth (8.0 per 100,000) had statistically significantly higher rates than England.

Low physical activity

The definition of being physically active is taking at least the recommended 150 minutes of moderate intensity physical activity or equivalent per week. In 2019/20, 69.5% of adults (aged 19+) were physically active in the South East, statistically significantly higher than the England proportion of 66.4%. There was variation by local authority, but Slough (56%) was the only local authority in the South East where the proportion of physically active adults (aged 19+) was statistically significantly lower than the proportion for England.

In contrast, adults (19+) doing less than 30 minutes of moderate intensity physical activity or equivalent per week are classified as physical inactive. In 2019/20, 20.1% of adults (19+) in the South East were physically inactive, statistically significantly lower than the England percentage of 22.9%. The percentage of the population (19+) physically inactive in Slough (32.3%), Southampton (28%), Milton Keynes (25.1%) and Kent (21.6%) was statistically significantly higher than the South East value.


Health Profile for England Highlights

As with children, England level findings in 2020/21 from Sport England uncover wide inequalities in physical activity in adults [30]. The proportion of adults who were physically active within each demographic breakdown was lowest for the following: people who have routine/semi routine jobs/those who are long-term unemployed or have never worked (52%); people living with a disability or long-term health condition (45%); Asian (50%); female (60%); and 75+ years old (39%).


Wider determinants of health

The wider determinants of health are a diverse range of social, economic, and environmental factors which influence people’s mental and physical health across the life course [31]. Inequalities in these factors are important drivers of the inequalities in risk factors and health outcomes presented earlier in this report.

This section presents some important indicators for a range of wider determinants of health, including the built and natural environment, education, employment and income, and communities and social capital.

The built and natural environment

The quality of the built and natural environment, such as quality of and access to green spaces and fuel poverty, affects health. The contribution of air quality is discussed in the section on health protection.

Fuel poverty: Fuel poverty is now measured by the new Low Income Low Energy Efficiency (LILEE) statistic [32]. A household is defined as fuel poor if it has income (after accounting for fuel costs) below a certain level and a low energy efficient home. According to this measure in 2019 the South East had the lowest proportion of fuel poverty (7.5%) of all the regions in England - the proportion for England was 13.4%. The proportion for local authorities in the South East ranged from 4.7% in Wokingham to 10.7% in Portsmouth and Southampton.

Natural environment: Living in a greener environment can promote and protect good health, aid recovery from illness and help with managing poor health. Greenspace can help to bind communities together, reduce loneliness, and mitigate the negative effects of air pollution, excessive noise, heat and flooding [33].

In 2018 to 2019, 71% of adults in the South East spent time outdoors in the natural environment every week, higher than the England value of 65% [34]. Of those visiting the outdoors in their leisure time less than once a month, 28% reported they didn’t spend more time outdoors because of being too busy at work.

According to data from the Woodland Trust, in 2020 15.6% of the South East population had accessible woodland of at least 2 hectares within 500 metres of where they live. There was statistically significant variation across local authorities in the region, with values ranging from 3.8% in Portsmouth to 56.2% in Southampton.

Education

Educational attainment is strongly linked with health behaviours and outcomes. Better-educated individuals are less likely to suffer from long term diseases, to report themselves in poor health, or to suffer from mental health conditions such as depression or anxiety [35]. Education provides knowledge and capabilities that contribute to mental, physical, and social wellbeing. Educational qualifications are also a determinant of an individual’s labour market position, which in turn influences income, housing and other material resources associated with health.

GCSE results (attainment 8)

Attainment 8 measures pupils’ results in 8 GCSE-level qualifications at state-funded mainstream schools. Due to changes in the way GCSE grades were awarded during the COVID-19 pandemic it is not appropriate to compare attainment data from previous years for the purpose of measuring changes in student performance. The average ‘Attainment 8 score’ for pupils in the South East was 52.1 out of 90.0 in the 2020/21 academic year, statistically significantly higher than the score for England (50.9 out of 90.0). At local authority level there was some variation, with the mean score ranging from 46.3 in Portsmouth to 60.4 for Wokingham.

A difference in sexes was apparent with an average score for females in the South East of 55.1 and for males a score of 49.4 in 2020/21 academic year. The data also shows that the average Attainment 8 score for pupils in the 2020/21 academic year also varied by ethnic group. Pupils from the Chinese ethnic group had the highest average Attainment 8 score out of all ethnic groups (69.6) and white pupils had the lowest score (51.3). The largest differences in sexes was present in black pupils where the difference in scores between boys and girls was 8.0. The smallest differences in sexes was present in Chinese pupils, a difference of 4.0.

Not in education, employment, training, or whose activity was not known (NEET)

In 2020, 6.4% of 16-17-year olds in the South East were not in education, employment, training or whose activity was not known (NEET). This is statistically significantly worse than the England value of 5.5%, but has not changed from 2019. A statistically significant difference between sexes was also observed, with 5.7% of female and 7.1% of male 16-17 year olds NEET. There was significant variance between local authorities in the South East in 2020. Surrey (9.5%), Medway (7.9%), West Sussex (7.7%) Southampton (7.6%) Kent (7.5%) and Buckinghamshire (7.0%) all had statistically significantly higher proportions than England (5.5%).

Employment

Good employment improves health and wellbeing across people’s lives, boosting quality of life and protecting against social exclusion [36]. In the South East in the period 2011/12 to 2019/20 the percentage of people (aged 16 to 64 years) in employment grew from 74.6% in 2011/12 to 79.6% in 2019/20. In 2020/21 (within the first year of the COVID-19 pandemic), there was a statistically significant reduction in the percentage of people in employment to 77.7%. The South East still has statistically significantly higher employment than England (75.1%).

Figure 22a shows that there are persistent differences in employment between females and males in the South East. The percentage of females (aged 16-64 years) in employment in 2020/21 was 74.3%, compared to 81.1% for males.

Figure 22b shows that in 2020/21 there was also inequality in employment by local authority in the South East. West Berkshire (82.5%), Reading (81.9%) and Surrey (80.1%) had statistically significantly higher percentages of people in employment than the South East percentage (77.7%). Slough (68.0%) and the Isle of Wight (71.9%) had statistically significantly lower percentages when compared to the South East.

Figure 22 – Employment

Figure 22b - UTLA

Source: OHID Public health profiles Date accessed: 31/03/2022 Download data


Health Profile for England Highlights

HPfE 2021 outlined evidence that the COVID-19 pandemic has had a substantial impact on employment patterns and opportunities. There is evidence that the economic impacts of the pandemic affected young people disproportionately. At the end of January 2021, the take up rate of eligible employees that made a claim to HMRC under the furlough scheme was highest in those aged under 18 (34.5%) and those aged 18 to 24 (21.1%). There was also a decline in the number of 16 and 17 year olds in employment, from 22.5% in the 3 month period March to May 2020, to 13.9% in the comparable period in 2021. In November 2020 the arts, entertainment and recreation industry and the accommodation and food service industry had the highest percentage of employees on furlough leave at 33.6% and 21.9% respectively. These are industries with a high proportion of the workforce who are relatively young [7].


Income

Many physical and mental health outcomes improve incrementally as income rises [37-38]. Income is related to life expectancy, disability-free life expectancy and self-reported health [38-39]. The relationship operates through a variety of mechanisms. Financial resources determine the extent to which a person can invest in goods and services which improve health, and purchase goods and services which are bad for health. Low income can also prevent active participation in social life and day to day activities, affecting feelings of self-worth and status [40]. It can also influence health through feelings of shame, low self-worth, and exclusion [41].

The Minimum Income Standard (MIS) is defined as not having enough income to afford a ‘minimum acceptable standard of living’, based on what members of the public think is enough money to live on [42]. Figure 23a shows the trend for the percentage of individuals not reaching the MIS in the South East. In 2018/19, 25% of the population of the South East did not reach the MIS, higher than in 2008/09 (20.8%). For the period 2016/17-2018/19 the average number of people not reaching the MIS was 2,147,000 in the South East. For children in the South East the percentage who did not reach the MIS in 2018/19 was 31.8% - higher than the percentage for people of all ages. Different estimates of child poverty for 2019-20 by lower tier local authority are shown in Figure 23b. There is variation across the region, ranging from 12% to 34% of children living in poverty (after housing costs).

Figure 23 – Minimum income standard

Figure 23b - Local Authority

Source: After housing cost childer poverty rate estimates, Loughborough University 2019-20 Date accessed: 31/03/2022 Download data

Health protection

Health protection issues include the prevention and control of all types of infectious diseases, and chemical and environmental threats to the health of the population. Over the past century, there has been a considerable reduction in the number of deaths from infectious diseases. However, the COVID-19 pandemic has demonstrated how threats from new infectious diseases can emerge.

Environmental threats include factors such as air pollution, climate change and flooding. Climate change is a risk to health both nationally and globally. It affects all aspects of our everyday life and our environment, including the places we live, the air we breathe, as well as our access to food and water [43].

It is not possible to cover all health protection issues in this report. This section presents specific information on air pollution, sexually transmitted infections, tuberculosis (TB), vaccinations and vaccine preventable infections, and antimicrobial resistance (AMR).

Air pollution

Air pollution can contribute to cardiovascular and respiratory conditions and shorten lives. It is estimated that long-term exposure to air pollution in the UK has an annual effect equivalent to 28,000 to 36,000 deaths [44].

Figure 24a shows the trend in the level of air pollution from man-made fine particulate matter for the South East. The trend between 2011 and 2020 has been variable, with a peak during 2016. In 2020, the level of air pollution from man-made fine particulate matter was 7.4\(\mu\)g/m3 in the South East compared to 6.9\(\mu\)g/m3 for England.

There is limited variation in modelled levels of mean fine particulate matter air pollution across the local authorities in the South East (Figure 24b). In 2020 values ranged from 6.6\(\mu\)/m3 in Isle of Wight to 8.9\(\mu\)g/m3 in Medway.

Figure 24 – Air quality

Figure 24b - UTLA

Source: OHID Wider Determinants of Health Date accessed: 31/03/2022 Download data


Health Profile for England Highlights

HPfE 2021 highlighted that the highest air pollution exposures have been in deprived urban environments, contributing to health inequalities. Social restrictions implemented during the pandemic meant that there were fewer vehicles on the roads, which had a favourable impact on air pollution levels. Motor vehicle use fell dramatically during the first (March 2020) and third (January 2021) national lockdowns in England, but by the end of July 2021 was similar to previous years [7].


Sexually transmitted infections


Health Profile for England Highlights

The epidemiology of sexually transmitted infections (STIs) has changed markedly over the last two decades, reflecting changes in demographics, individual behaviours, surveillance techniques, diagnostics, and treatments. There has been a continued decline in the rate of new HIV diagnoses [45] due to a combination of testing, pre-exposure prophylaxis, rapid linkage to treatment and support for those diagnosed with HIV to attain viral suppression. There has also been a decline in the rate of genital warts following the introduction of the HPV vaccination programme [46].

HPfE 2021 reported that the measures taken to control the COVID-19 pandemic resulted in a drop in the number of people accessing services. Reduced demand for these services, during this time, may have been influenced by compliance with social distancing measures and changes in risk perception and behaviour. This may also indicate undetected infections. The full impact on infection transmission and long-term health outcomes will take time to emerge and evaluate [47].


Chlamydia:

Figure 25a includes a chart showing the trend in diagnostic rates for chlamydia (aged 25+) between 2012 and 2020. Diagnostic tests are used to establish the presence of disease. In the South East rates rose from 108.1 per 100,000 in 2012 to 176.2 per 100,000 in 2019; before declining in 2020 to 128.5 per 100,000. Values in the South East were consistently lower than England, but mirror the national trend.

Figure 25b includes a chart showing the variation in chlamydia diagnostic rates for local authorities in the South East for 2020. The local authority with the highest chlamydia (aged 25+) diagnostic rate per 100,000 in the South East was Portsmouth (371.5 per 100,000) and the lowest was Oxfordshire (64.8 per 100,000).

The chlamydia detection rate is obtained from opportunistic screening (National Chlamydia Screening Programme) among under 25-year olds. The detection rate is a measure of chlamydia control activity, aimed at reducing the incidence of infection and interrupting transmission. The goal local authorities should be working to is 2,300 per 100,000 population aged 15 to 24.

The trend in detection rates for Chlamydia (aged 15-24) for the South East has been less clear compared to diagnostic rates for chlamydia (aged 25+). In 2012, the detection rate for Chlamydia (aged 15-24) was 1,617 per 100,000 rising to 1,673 per 100,000 by 2014. The rate then decreased in 2015 and 2016 before rising again to 1,773 per 100,000 in 2019. Similarly, the detection rate fell in 2020 to 1,222 per 100,000. In 2020, the only UTLA in the South East with a detection rate above the goal was Portsmouth (2,323 per 100,000).

Gonorrhoea:

Figure 25a includes a chart showing the diagnostic rates for gonorrhoea in the South East between 2012 and 2020. Rates of gonorrhoea rose from 25.4 per 100,000 in 2012 to 73.8 per 100,000 in 2019; before declining to 53.5 per 100,000 in 2020. Values in the South East were consistently lower than England, but mirror the national trend.

Figure 25b includes a chart showing that in 2020 the local authority with the highest gonorrhoea diagnostic rate per 100,000 in the South East was Brighton and Hove (187.8 per 100,000). The lowest was the Isle of Wight (9.8 per 100,000).

Genital warts:

Figure 25a includes a chart that shows the diagnostic rates for genital warts between 2012 and 2020. In the South East the rate declined from 129.9 per 100,000 in 2012 to 46.9 per 100,000 in 2020. This mirrors the England trend.

Figure 25b includes a chart that shows that in 2020 the local authority with the highest genital warts diagnostic rate per 100,000 in the South East was Brighton and Hove (94.9 per 100,000). The lowest was Milton Keynes (24.8 per 100,000).

Syphilis:

Figure 25a includes a chart showing that in the South East the diagnostic rate for syphilis increased from 2.9 per 100,000 in 2012 to 9.2 per 100,000 in 2019; before declining to 8.5 per 100,000 in 2020. Values in the South East were consistently lower than England, but approximately mirror the national trend.

Figure 25b includes a chart that shows that in 2020 the local authority with the highest syphilis diagnostic rate in the South East was Brighton and Hove (60.0 per 100,000), and the lowest was West Berkshire (3.2 per 100,000).

Figure 25 – Sexually transmitted infections

Figure 25b - Local Authority

Source: Sexual and Reproductive Health Profiles Date accessed: 31/03/2022 Download data

Tuberculosis

Figure 26a shows the trend in TB incidence (new cases per 100,000 population) between 2000 and 2020. In the South East, following an increasing trend in the earlier years of the time period, there has been a steady decline in the TB incidence rate since 2011. This mostly mirrors the trend seen for England. In 2020, the incidence rate was 5.1 per 100,000 in the South East compared to 7.3 per 100,000 for England.

Figure 26 – Tuberculosis


Health Profile for England Highlights

HPfE 2021 reported that the rates of TB are higher in people born outside of the UK, particularly those of Indian, Pakistani or black African ethnicity, than in people born inside the UK. It was also higher in the most deprived than the least deprived areas and more than a fifth of UK born cases have a known social risk factor, such as homelessness or drug use.


Vaccines and vaccine preventable infections

As a result of effective vaccination programmes the incidence of many diseases has reduced significantly over time and the importance of vaccination in controlling infectious diseases is highlighted by the COVID-19 pandemic.

Flu vaccine uptake in those aged 65 and over, in the South East, increased significantly in 2020/21 to 81.8%. This was the first year since 2010/11 that the national target of 75% was reached. Whilst there was variation across local authorities in the South East in 2020/21 Slough was the only one not to meet the target.

Advice from the Joint Committee on Vaccination and Immunisation (JCVI) on routine childhood immunisations stated that children should continue to receive vaccinations according to the national schedule during the COVID-19 pandemic [PHE statement from JCVI]. Measles is a highly infectious disease which can only be controlled by vaccination. Population vaccination coverage of MMR (one dose received by their 2nd birthday) in the South East was 92.3% in 2020/21, this is statistically significantly higher than England (90.3%). Similarly to England, there was a small but statistically significant drop between 2019/20 (92.7%) and 2020/21.

People who have not received 2 doses of the MMR (measles, mumps, rubella) vaccine are at risk of developing measles. In 2020/21 only 89.5% of the South East children received their second dose by age 5, this is statistically significantly higher than England (86.6%). Despite this being a statistically significant increase from the previous year (89.1%), this remains below the target of 95% or more. No local authorities in the South East met the target of 95%, the highest was in West Berkshire at 94.1% and the lowest in Surrey at 84.3%.

Antimicrobial resistance

Antibiotic-resistant bloodstream infections rose by an estimated 32% between 2015 and 2019 in England [48]. Figure 27a shows the trend in antibiotic prescribing in primary care in the South East between 2015 and 2020. The chart shows antibiotic prescribing as an indirectly standardised ratio per STAR-PU (STAR-PUs are weighted units to allow comparisons adjusting for the age and sex of the population) and gives an estimation of prescribing rates compared to expected values given the demographics of a population. Antibiotic prescribing in primary care in the South East has fallen every year in line with the trend observed for England - with the largest drop between 2019 and 2020. In 2020, the indirectly standardised antibiotic prescribing ratio was 0.70 in the South East compared with 0.75 for England.

Figure 27b shows the variation in primary care antibiotic prescribing for the local authorities in the South East for 2020. Eleven local authorities are statistically significantly higher when compared to the regional ratio. Seven local authorities are statistically significantly lower, and 1 local authority is not statistically significantly different when compared to the regional ratio.

Figure 27 – Antibiotic prescribing

Figure 27b - Local Authority

Source: OHID Public health profiles Date accessed: 31/03/2022 Download data

Conclusions

The 2021 Health Profile for the South East presents data on health and well-being in the region. The analysis has highlighted the following points for the region:

The full impact of the pandemic on health in the region is not yet known, but evidence from national analysis has shown that the pandemic has had a disproportionate impact on particular cohorts of the population who were already facing disadvantage. Action to address inequalities in health and promote equitable health gain for all is a priority.

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